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value bet river?

  
 
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mxiu
Old 03-18-2009, 02:38 AM     Post subject: value bet river? #1 (permalink)  
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villain is 17/8 over 400 hands

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (CO) ($111.05)
Button ($98.80)
SB ($84.90)
BB ($72.60)
UTG ($105.35)
UTG+1 ($130.60)
MP1 ($72)
MP2 ($61.70)
MP3 ($63.20)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, Q
UTG bets $5, 4 folds, Hero calls $4, Button calls $5, 2 folds

Flop: ($15.50) 7, 5, 3 (3 players)
UTG bets $9, Hero calls $9, 1 fold

Turn: ($33.50) 9 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $16, UTG calls $16

River: ($65.50) 3 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $39, UTG calls $39

Total pot: $143.50 | Rake: $3
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Deanglow
Old 03-18-2009, 05:27 AM #2 (permalink)  
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looks fine to me
 
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Fnord
Old 03-18-2009, 10:20 AM #3 (permalink)  
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I guess we're discounting Aces and Kings given the check/call on the turn followed by a river check?
 
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Deanglow
Old 03-18-2009, 02:53 PM #4 (permalink)  
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they have aces and kings a lot here but they play 88, TT and JJ the same so we should bet
 
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hangchiong
Old 03-19-2009, 01:58 PM #5 (permalink)  
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i like your bet sizing on the turn.river could be smaller?30-35?
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ZwiFT
Old 03-19-2009, 02:31 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hangchiong
i like your bet sizing on the turn.river could be smaller?30-35?
Doesnt really change villains calling range
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ZwiFT
Old 03-19-2009, 02:33 PM #7 (permalink)  
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but dont exclude AA or KK here.. What villain is thinking is that we got TT-QQ or a set, and desided to check-call it down. If we checked the turn behind he would most likely bet the river
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St8ofN8
Old 03-19-2009, 10:24 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I really don't like his c/c on the turn then his c on the river. i think you have to value bet here, but I feel like he has KK or AA a lot of the time.
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daven
Old 03-20-2009, 12:11 AM #9 (permalink)  
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looks fine although you could bet turn bigger - how big you bettting 77 here?, checking behind is also fine. I'm trying to figure out if you get calls from TT, probably not? so I prefer checking river behind without more reads.
 
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bigspenda73
Old 03-20-2009, 12:33 AM #10 (permalink)  
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sad that this is close to too thin but it probably is
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derekvsmith
Old 03-20-2009, 02:13 AM #11 (permalink)  

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i think that this hand was played correct i feel that if he had aa or kk he would have done something on the turn
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