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Two pair with flush scare - call or raise?

  
 
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flyingPenguin
Old 02-01-2007, 12:56 PM     Post subject: Two pair with flush scare - call or raise? #1 (permalink)  
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UTG had stats of about 40/5/4 over 40 hands. I'd seen him play his OK hands (< two pair) aggressively, but had no idea how he would play such hands against my reraise, or how he played a draw.

The turn play looks like a draw, but the river bet looks like a bad blocking bet rather than a weak bet from a flush to encourage a reraise, although it still could be because I played the previous two streets aggressively. Call or raise?

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No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
9 players
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Stack sizes:
UTG: $27.90
UTG+1: $3.75
MP1: $33.05
Hero: $36.45
MP3: $11.55
CO: $22.75
Button: $9.40
SB: $36.25
BB: $27.35

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP2 with K 9
UTG calls, 2 folds, Hero calls, MP3 folds, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB checks.

Flop: 7 9 K ($1.25, 5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets $1, Hero raises to $3, 3 folds, UTG calls.

Turn: 3 ($7.25, 2 players)
UTG bets $0.25, Hero raises to $5, UTG calls.

River: 6 ($17.25, 2 players)
UTG bets $2, Hero ?
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seoul_child1
Old 02-01-2007, 01:03 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Call
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acrafty
Old 02-01-2007, 01:07 PM #3 (permalink)  

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I think that I would just call. UTG has a wide range of hands that they start with. So you have to put 2 hearts in that range, or maybe T8, 86. If you raise here, you may be put all in and you have an even harder decision to make.

I think that there is to much danger here to risk a healthy portion of your stack on. ...

Had to make the decision without how many of villains hands have gone to SD, and the % of these they have won.
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Miffed22001
Old 02-01-2007, 01:23 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 call becasue you cant stand being raised.
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DaHorror
Old 02-01-2007, 04:12 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Unless I had a strong read that he donk-bets-calls with top pair weak kicker or something I'm pretty much always just grunting and calling the river...he's not gonna call a big raise there anyway and you sure don't want to be reraised.

Also - that tard bet, call big raise line is often a draw. He could even have T8o here and thus the slightly larger-sized donk into you on the river - since we can't really solidly put him on that by the river, there's little point in trying to push him off it, which probably would fail anyway.
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zook
Old 02-01-2007, 06:16 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Raise the flop and turn a little more. Call river.
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bigspenda73
Old 02-01-2007, 06:27 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 You think he triple donked a flush draw? What minbets the turn
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bbqsquirrel
Old 02-01-2007, 07:00 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Fold preflop. As played easy call.
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flyingPenguin
Old 02-01-2007, 08:03 PM #9 (permalink)  
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My preflop call here was reads based. I didn't have much c-bet fold equity at this table, but I did have good implied odds, and it was unlikely anyone would raise preflop.

I called and beat his drawless Kx bollocks.

For some reason there was a plethora of really bad players last night.
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