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TT turned str8, deepish vs. nit
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zook
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03-14-2007, 08:46 PM
Post subject: TT turned str8, deepish vs. nit
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 3,676
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Villain is 16/5.5/3.8 over a shit-ton of hands. I put him squarely on QQ+ after the flop mr. He knows I'm laggro and has prob seen me spew at least a couple of times. On this table about an orbit ago, I bullied him out of a 65BB pot by 3-betting a drawy flop over his minraise and making a big turn bet when a str8 card hit. So, similar situation to this one, very recently, I bet turn, he folded.
Best line for value here with almost 100BB behind?
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $1/$2 - 9 players - Converter
Stack sizes:
UTG: $213.40
UTG+1: $281.40
MP1: $270.90
MP2: $270.15
MP3: $111
CO: $189
Button: $100
SB: $148
Hero: $301.65
Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with T T
2 folds, MP1 raises to $10, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, 2 folds, SB calls, Hero calls.
Flop: 8 9 7 ($40, 4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $32, MP1 raises to $64, 2 folds, Hero calls.
Turn: 6 ($168, 2 players)
Hero...
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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if you bullied him out of a similar situation earlier i would lead the turn here. He is pretty aggro, so he will most likely bet but w/ that much money behind i want to lead and hope he c/r's.
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zenbitz
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 2,911
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I think he has to bet with anything he's calling a bet with, so I kind of like a c/r bomb on the turn. If for some super nitty reason he checks behind for pot control, you can just shove the river, it's not that much of an overbet.
Call m/r then lead straighty turn looks like, well, a straight. But then so does a c/r...
There are basically 2 bets remaining. We either want a bet/raise or check/bet/raise on turn or just bet turn bet river. Third is slightly worse because it's reasonable that he has a set and the board could pair.
You could even probe bet turn for like 50, that leaves 2/3 pot or so on the river (assuming he raises). That's probably the worst if he has a set, since he has odds to suck out.
It probably doesn't matter much. Villain is going to either decide you have a straight or not, and act accordingly. Maybe the best is to play it to set up future bluffs (your choice of c/r, small bet, value bet, a/i)
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