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Trying to pick off a busted draw

  
 
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Rockymv
Old 06-30-2006, 04:33 PM     Post subject: Trying to pick off a busted draw #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is 49/5. Like it?


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($381.04)
MP3 ($167.08)
CO ($63.82)
Button ($46.69)
SB ($176.50)
BB ($100)
Hero ($195.60)
UTG+1 ($152)
UTG+2 ($104.40)
MP1 ($45.91)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9, 9. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
Hero raises to $4, UTG+1 calls $4, 8 folds.

Flop: ($9.50) 2, 6, 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, UTG+1 calls $7.

Turn: ($23.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $15, UTG+1 calls $15.

River: ($53.50) J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $24.81, Hero calls $24.81.

Final Pot: $103.12
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givememyleg
Old 06-30-2006, 05:20 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 49/5 and very fishy?

Wouldn't a donk check behind here if they missed more often than not?

You only have to be correct 1/3 times however. I do think a check/call on the river is the best line, possibily a blocking bet, but a check gives an opportunity for this kind of bluff. Only problem with a check here is if he pushes or bets anymore than 1/2 pot you have a real decision here.
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KoRnholio
Old 06-30-2006, 07:06 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 He may be superbly loose, but what kind of hands will this guy cold-call a 4xBB raise in early position with? Unless this guy is a total donk, the only hand we're beating here is KQs/AKs. I suspect that he's slowplaying something big after his calls of your big flop and turn bets.

I wouldn't be surprised to see a set or some wierd 2 pair here.
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Rockymv
Old 06-30-2006, 07:38 PM #4 (permalink)  
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45 is really loose
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zook
Old 06-30-2006, 08:14 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I dunno, you're risking a lot of money to pick off a busted draw. If that's what he had, vnh, but I think I'm folding to this river bet.
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Fnord
Old 06-30-2006, 08:32 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Got a post-flop read?

What range does he call the flop + turn with?

If he's loose post-flop too I like it.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
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nogenius
Old 06-30-2006, 08:52 PM #7 (permalink)  
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I'm new to NL, is it standard to raise 99 4x BB from EP there?

What hand range do you generally raise from EP?
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givememyleg
Old 06-30-2006, 09:07 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nogenius
I'm new to NL, is it standard to raise 99 4x BB from EP there?

What hand range do you generally raise from EP?
I raise 4x with any pp in any position generally.
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Rockymv
Old 06-30-2006, 09:26 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Got a post-flop read?

What range does he call the flop + turn with?

If he's loose post-flop too I like it.
Not really, but I should have mentioned that he insta-called the flop and turn bets, which often signifies a draw.
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Fnord
Old 06-30-2006, 10:11 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rockymv
Not really, but I should have mentioned that he insta-called the flop and turn bets, which often signifies a draw.
*shrug* well it's something. I'm more interested if he's a folder or chaser type post-flop. Is he the kinda guy that's giving insta-profit by being loose pre-flop and weak/tight post-flop or is he going to pay off way too much?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
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Miffed22001
Old 07-01-2006, 12:57 AM #11 (permalink)  
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