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Triple barrel bluff...profitable in this scenario at $25 NL?

  
 
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DaHorror
Old 05-19-2006, 12:45 AM     Post subject: Triple barrel bluff...profitable in this scenario at $25 NL? #1 (permalink)  
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Only 16 hands on Villain so not enough for a read though at that he's 62/18 (can't be reliable).
I figured he's either floating a pair on me or he's chasing the flush.
Is this just stupid?
Not a play I employ too often but will make from time to time.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($12)
UTG ($12.25)
Hero ($25)
MP1 ($59.65)
MP2 ($71.38)
MP3 ($9.05)
CO ($18.55)
Button ($41.85)
SB ($23.60)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K, A. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, 5 folds, SB (poster) calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG folds.

Flop: ($3) 7, 3, 7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2.

Turn: ($7) 4 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4.

River: ($15) Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB ...
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samsonite2100
Old 05-19-2006, 12:56 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Triple barrel bluff...profitable at $25 NL?
No.
 
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gabe
Old 05-19-2006, 01:13 AM #3 (permalink)  
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its always profitable in the right situations, but i doubt a 62/18 is the right person to do it to
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givememyleg
Old 05-19-2006, 01:16 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 I think that is a decent river to do it on. No draws landed. What will he call with here? Is he the kinda villian that can't get away from his A3?

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lolzzz_321
Old 05-19-2006, 01:34 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Depends on opponent obv. Don't usually try triple bluffing someone unless I have seen someone do it in the past. In general I would not make this play against an unknown opponenet. At least you have a thought process behind it though.

Lets try not to make horrible generalizations like the title of this post.

Quote:
Originally Posted by lolwtfamidoing
Only 16 hands on Villain so not enough for a read though at that he's 62/18 (can't be reliable).
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samsonite2100
Old 05-19-2006, 01:51 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Lets try not to make horrible generalizations like the title of this post.
I don't think it's a horrible generalization to say that absent a read, three-barrel bluffs are not a great idea at low stakes.
Quote:
lolwtfamidoing wrote:
Only 16 hands on Villain so not enough for a read though at that he's 62/18 (can't be reliable).
Hahahahaha
 
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DaHorror
Old 05-19-2006, 03:38 AM #7 (permalink)  
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My apologies for the overgeneralization on the title - just hacked somethin in real quick before I bailed outta the office.

This was a questionable one...I doubt I'm ahead of much but Ax/Kx -- but the river seemed to be a pretty good scare card...if you are villain at $25 NL are you calling here with 88/99/66, having not lead out on the flop, etc.?
I felt like the answer was no a good percentage of the time.
And if he was on a spade draw minus a Q (which is doubtful) then he's definitely folding here.

Results:

SB folds.

Final pot: $25.00

Just thought this was an interesting one in that it's a pretty damn rare for a bankroll baby like me to pull this outside of a low-dollar SNG :0
Worked out this go - and so far the 3-4 times I've balsed it up and gone for it like this lately, it's worked out. We're talking 3-4 times in 5k-8k hands though - so I definitely don't overuse it.
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Muxy
Old 05-19-2006, 03:56 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Double Barrel at Party 25nl owns.
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lolzzz_321
Old 05-19-2006, 08:34 AM #9 (permalink)  
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props to op for thinking and utilizing this sparingly.
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