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TPGK against a set, I guess...

  
 
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drtofu66
Old 07-22-2006, 10:51 PM     Post subject: TPGK against a set, I guess... #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 595
drtofu66
Villain is 23%/6.5%/1 over 92 hands.

Standard? Do you bet more like 1/2 pot on the turn after the smooth call? Is the river blocking bet worth it here?

Cryptologic
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.15/$0.25
7 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $36.90
UTG+1: $19.80
MP1: $24.75
Hero: $26
Button: $46
SB: $24.10
BB: $25

Pre-flop: (7 players) Hero is CO with Q A
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, Button calls, 2 folds.

Flop: A 2 7 ($2.9, 2 players)
Hero bets $2, Button calls.

Turn: 5 ($6.9, 2 players)
Hero bets $4.5, Button calls.

River: 9 ($15.9, 2 players)
Hero bets $5, Button raises to $18.25, Hero folds.
Uncalled bets: $13.25 returned to Button.

Results:
Final pot: $25.9
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LeFou
Old 07-22-2006, 10:55 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Location: Dallas, TX
Posts: 2,361
LeFou
yeah, that looks right. turn bet is fine. too many ways to be losing here, I don't commit a lot more chips at the end.
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knoedel
Old 07-27-2006, 12:16 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 89
knoedel
Could be one of three things:

1) a set
2) A9 (probably SUITED, maybe even clubs) paired its kicker after hesitantly calling with a weak one
3) A broken flushdraw pushing you off top pair because he has a note saying "Weak tight nit, can be pushed off hands easily" (just kidding). The bet says "don't call me", if he wanted TPGK to call he would have probably raised to like 10-12$. Well, anyway, I would fold without a read here.
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