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Tough AA flop decision

  
 
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spino1i
Old 02-28-2006, 10:36 PM     Post subject: Tough AA flop decision #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is TAG from what I know. The chief question here is, how do I know whether he has KK/TT or AK or is trying to make a move witha flush draw?

Your play here?

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UTG+2 ($249.11)
MP1 ($169.05)
MP2 ($441.46)
MP3 ($200)
Hero ($202.70)
Button ($205.05)
SB ($47)
BB ($203.40)
UTG ($197)
UTG+1 ($228.29)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A. SB posts a blind of $1.
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $7, 1 fold, MP1 calls $7, 2 folds, Hero raises to $24, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls $17, MP1 folds.

Flop: ($58) T, 2, K (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $10, Hero raises to $45, UTG+1 raises to $80, Hero ???
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littlewashu
Old 02-28-2006, 11:14 PM #2 (permalink)  
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TT/KK it doesnt really matter I think he made his set here, seems like an awfully big raise to be on a flush draw. I think this might be a good spot to fold since you only have 2 outs.
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johnny_fish
Old 03-01-2006, 12:28 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Easy fold. He might overplay his AK, but it's TT/KK 8 out of 10 times vs. a typical player.
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Krieg1984
Old 03-01-2006, 12:43 AM #4 (permalink)  
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This smells a lot like TT. KK is highly likely too, but TT fits his line perfectly.

He pops in EP (reasonable) and you prompty 3bet him. TT usually doesn't justify a 4bet, and he might read you for AA/KK so he calls to hit his set. Lo and behold, he hits an excellent flop (in case you held AK you're going to give him some action as well) and leads into the raiser. KK could be a possible holding for you but he knows he's going to lose all his money in that situation so it doesn't matter. You raise him back and he confidently 3bets, hoping that you'll stack off with your overpair.

You displayed immense strength before the flop and on the flop, and he's willing to stack off with you? I think the best-case scenario where you're ahead is when he has A K but unless you have a solid read I'd still throw it away. Either he has a lot of outs, or you're pretty much dead. Yuck, I'd like to think I'd find a fold here, but trust me, I've overplayed many an high pocket pair lol.

Just my two cents, and I could definitely be off. Just curious, what ended up happening in the actual hand?
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