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too many outs..

  
 
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freechus9
Old 01-11-2006, 11:09 PM     Post subject: too many outs.. #1 (permalink)  
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Hand #10101857-35367 at Abah (No Limit Hold'em)
Powered by UltimateBet
Started at 11/Jan/06 19:05:09

thebigt12345 is at seat 0 with $1.16.
littlebitocyn is at seat 1 with $1.60 (sitting out).
freechus is at seat 2 with $2.18.
stro141 is at seat 3 with $1.97.
charliepurple is at seat 4 with $3.81 (sitting out).
Asand8s1971 is at seat 5 with $2 (sitting out).
kking66 is at seat 6 with $3.08.
red_baron is at seat 7 with $.74.
CrY_Me_aRiVeR is at seat 8 with $1.86.
quack123 is at seat 9 with $1.86.
The button is at seat 7.

CrY_Me_aRiVeR posts the small blind of $.01.
quack123 posts the big blind of $.02.

thebigt12345: -- --
freechus: Kh Qh
stro141: -- --
kking66: -- --
red_baron: -- --
CrY_Me_aRiVeR: -- --
quack123: -- --

Pre-flop:

thebigt12345 calls. freechus raises to $.12.
stro141 folds. kking66 folds. red_baron calls.
CrY_Me_aRiVeR calls. quack123 folds. thebigt12345
calls.

Flop (board: Ac Th 3h):

CrY_Me_aRiVeR goes all-in for $1.74. thebigt12345
folds. freechus
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bdawg56kg
Old 01-12-2006, 02:54 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Fold. Unless you have a read that villian would do this with a lower flush draw or Tx, you are calling off your stack as an underdog. If you had an OESDF I might be more willing to gamble.
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johnny_fish
Old 01-12-2006, 04:04 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Board: Ac Th 3h

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 42.5196 % 42.45% 00.07% { KhQh }
Hand 2: 57.4804 % 57.41% 00.07% { A2s+, 9h8h, 8h7h, 7h6h, A2o+ }

1.74/(2x1.74+.49)=0.438

Could it be more marginal?

Note that red_baron is last to act..
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