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Is this the time to fold my set? (50NL)

  
 
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taipan168
Old 05-14-2007, 02:45 PM     Post subject: Is this the time to fold my set? (50NL) #1 (permalink)  
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Opp is 50/15/1.0 over 95 hands. I have to call the turn in the hope of hitting one of my 10 outs but have to fold the river, right?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($62.65)
UTG+1 ($24.05)
Hero ($81.15)
MP2 ($68.30)
MP3 ($11.70)
CO ($50.25)
Button ($118.40)
SB ($10.25)
BB ($50)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 5, 5.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds, Button calls $0.50, 1 fold, BB checks.

Flop: ($2.25) 3, 5, 2 (4 players)
BB bets $2, UTG+1 calls $2, Hero raises to $8, Button calls $8, BB calls $6, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: ($28.25) 4 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, Button bets $5, BB folds, Hero calls $5.

River: ($38.25) T (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $20, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $58.25
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Sheetah
Old 05-14-2007, 02:56 PM #2 (permalink)  
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The ugliest theoretically possible board (and action I might add) for someone holding a set.
Why are you even thinking about anything else?
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bode
Old 05-14-2007, 03:16 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 this is definitly a fold IMO.
Quote:
eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
 
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stuck
Old 05-14-2007, 06:24 PM #4 (permalink)  
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fold. ugly situation with the flush and a straight completed by an A.
If I had a hammer
I'd drop in the morning
I'd drop in the evening..
 
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AHiltz
Old 05-14-2007, 06:39 PM #5 (permalink)  
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The only thing you can beat here is your meat. Fold.
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Miffed22001
Old 05-14-2007, 06:57 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AHiltz
The only thing you can beat here is your meat. Fold.
lol

yeah, you cant make a hero call here to be honest.
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taipan168
Old 05-14-2007, 10:18 PM #7 (permalink)  
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But the turn call to either fill up or hit quads is fine getting 6:1 is fine given I have 10 outs, isn't it?
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Sheetah
Old 05-15-2007, 12:40 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by taipan168
But the turn call to either fill up or hit quads is fine getting 6:1 is fine given I have 10 outs, isn't it?
Pure odds (plus implied). Seriously, I can not think of better way to play this. Sure, you can semi bluff raise turn or something like that, but what you get in the long run EV-wise?
I play it the same.
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