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Three unrelated 50nl hands for comment.

  
 
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Renton
Old 03-20-2006, 01:03 AM     Post subject: Three unrelated 50nl hands for comment. #1 (permalink)  
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#1

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP2 ($35.20)
Hero ($166.73)
CO ($47)
Button ($30.65)
SB ($47)
BB ($99.15)
UTG ($29)
UTG+1 ($45.35)
MP1 ($48)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 5, 5. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
UTG calls $0.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.50, CO raises to $2, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.50.

Flop: ($6.75) 7, 4, 2 (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $4

#2

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

SB ($50.95)
BB ($57.85)
Hero ($81.02)
UTG+1 ($43.40)
UTG+2 ($49.75)
MP1 ($50)
MP2 ($44.90)
MP3 ($53.50)
CO ($53.70)
Button ($39.45)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, A. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
Hero raises to $2, 3 folds, MP2 calls $2, 5 folds.

Flop: ($4.75) J, K, T (2 players)
Hero bets $3.5, MP2 calls $3.50.

Turn: ($11.75) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, MP2 calls $7.

River: ($25.75) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $12, MP2 calls $12.

Final Pot: $49.75

#3

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP3 ($51.65)
CO ($49.50)
Hero ($74.07)
SB ($44.20)
BB ($54.60)
UTG ($48)
UTG+1 ($70.35)
UTG+2 ($50.42)
MP1 ($53.90)
MP2 ($44.45)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 5, 5. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
7 folds, Hero raises to $1.5, 1 fold, BB calls $1.

Flop: ($3.25) 9, 7, 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.5, BB calls $2.50.

Turn: ($8.25) 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($8.25) 8 (2 players)
BB bets $5, Hero calls $5.

Final Pot: $18.25
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mxiu
Old 03-20-2006, 01:14 AM #2 (permalink)  
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1st hand: standard. Takes a down a cheap flop against CO's Ace high.

2nd: I like it, I see opp turning over KQ here.

3rd: Not sure if it's a good call on the river. I would fire a second barrel on the turn to see if he really caught a piece of the flop. As played, you could be up against a wide variety of hands including T8/86 that hit a pair.
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NLHE lahooozaher
Old 03-20-2006, 01:35 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Hand 1: Perfect. I do this all the time against pfrs and at the $50 tables nobody plays back w/o a hand, so I safely fold to a raise.

Hand 2: Fine. Sometimes I'll check/call the river but that's weak, it should be a bet and fold to a raise if you know he needs a flush to raise.

Hand 3: I fold the river. Too many hands just got there or had you before. For example if I was the BB I could have lots with my flop call (J8, JT, T8, any pair, any 7, any 9 and I think that's just to many hands you're behind here. Against a range of hands that would check/call the flop, bet the river I don't think you're going to win 1 in ~3.7 times that you need to break even.

Disclaimor, math may be bad but it's close me thinks.
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Renton
Old 03-20-2006, 01:42 AM #4 (permalink)  
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i had the guy in hand three on missed overs and I think those occur more than 1:3.7 times.

I could be wrong.
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Renton
Old 03-20-2006, 01:45 AM #5 (permalink)  
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he could have QJ QK AQ, AK, AJ, JT, QT, AT, KT
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NLHE lahooozaher
Old 03-20-2006, 02:36 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton
he could have anything
I agree. If you think he bluffs with overs then call but I think it's a fold against most of the "passive" players at the $50 tables. Against an unknown I just fold.
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Fnord
Old 03-20-2006, 02:39 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NLHE lahooozaher
Against an unknown I just CALL.
 
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Renton
Old 03-20-2006, 02:43 AM #8 (permalink)  
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so you agree with the call fnord?
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Fnord
Old 03-20-2006, 02:46 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton
so you agree with the call fnord?
I don't think it matter much, but I'm probably looking up an unknown in that spot.
 
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Renton
Old 03-20-2006, 03:16 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Irrelevant results:

#1 Everyone folds.

#2 Villain shows KT for two pair.

#3 Villain shows AKs.
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mcatdog
Old 03-20-2006, 04:54 AM #11 (permalink)  
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There are some players who will bet the river 100% of the time if you bet the flop and check behind on the turn. I love playing against these guys.
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sejje
Old 03-20-2006, 12:38 PM #12 (permalink)  
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1) I don't do this against all opponents, but against quite a few.

2) Standard.

3) What's wrong with a turn bet here? Or are we trying to pick off a bluff on the river? What if it's a queen and he makes the same bet?
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Renton
Old 03-20-2006, 02:17 PM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sejje
3) What's wrong with a turn bet here? Or are we trying to pick off a bluff on the river? What if it's a queen and he makes the same bet?
I think there are a few good things about the check:

1. We are emotionally checked-out of the hand. May as well keep the pot small while we are unsure to win.

2. If we are up against a passively played monster, then we just got infinite pot odds to draw to our 22:1. Then when we miss, and he throws out either a small value bet or a huge overbet on the end, then we can be sure we're beat and dump for minimal loss.

3. We induce a bluff on the river from a missed hand if another blank falls. The pot sized bet on the end is what gave it away for me. Also I figured a strong hand would have bet out on the turn, (at least if I am up against a smart opponent, eh doubtful) because there were straight and flush draws on the board. I figured this statistically was a bluff more often than not so I went with it.
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