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AFchung
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07-25-2009, 11:21 PM
Post subject: These spazzy regs love to F with my delayed cbets
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: UCLA
Posts: 1,179
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Both players are regs, but the main villain is an 11/7.
Main Villain: 8000 hands
11/7/3.3 with a 3bet of 2.17
Check raise stats on F/T/R
3.65 / 5.88 / 4.35
Based on tight preflop stats, his coldcalling range is PPs and some broadways. I wanted to cbet this flop but decided not to because we're multiway and they're going to be peeling with a wide range and I have essentially air here. My plan for the hand was to check it down or fold to any action, but I hit my set on the turn and bet out for value against the Ah and maybe a K or J
The raise from villain completely surprises me because he's not repping very much but i'm not repping anything either. I look FOS but at the same time he looks FOS as well. Here I believe his range is
1) air (somewhat likely)
2) naked Ah semi bluff (pretty likely)
3) JJ / 66 (though he might lead these hands on the turn)
4) a flopped flush AhQh (i want to say this is likely, but if you think of it theres barely any combos of suited heart broadways in a 11 VPIP's calling range)
A 3bet % of 2% is essentially aces and kings and once in a while AK/QQ thrown into the mix so KK is not in his range since he'll 3bet squeeze to put more money in the pot and see a pot heads up.
I wanted to flat the turn and call any non heart river.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (UTG+1) ($203.50)
MP1 ($52.55)
MP2 ($50)
CO ($67.45)
Button ($14.90)
SB ($84.45)
BB ($52.75)
UTG ($50)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 7 , 7
1 fold, Hero bets $2, 4 folds, SB calls $1.75, BB calls $1.50
Flop: ($6) 6 , J , K (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($6) 7 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $5, 1 fold, BB raises to $15, Hero?
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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call.
next street?
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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AFchung
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: UCLA
Posts: 1,179
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by badgers
call.
next street?
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a heart. and he shoved so it was an easy fold
but what happens when a blank that doesnt pair the board comes?
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Parasurama
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: DMT
Posts: 820
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Call a bet, and b/f if checked to, easy game
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BankItDrew
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Losing Prop Bets
Posts: 2,789
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flopped flush over set is a cooler imo just as much as flopped set over set is. don't feel bad about getting it in vs these spots but i give you all the props in the world when u fold the worst hand.
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3bet enough that he'll call with AhX and call a shove. If he was going for a xr on the flop you're flipping (66/JJ), a player this tight has AhQh and probably nothing else, but he can have a fair number of 1pair+FD+Gutshot hands which you're crushing.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,334
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I'm snapping his river shove.
Turn is a call because you're both repping pretty much bullshit so keep his bullshit in the pot intending to call just about any river.
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