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Strange 98o hand

  
 
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johnny_fish
Old 03-29-2006, 06:37 AM     Post subject: Strange 98o hand #1 (permalink)  
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Should I immediately semibluff the flop to fold the PFR?

** Game ID 738394113 starting - 2006-03-29 09:13:31

** Can`t Make Me Run [Hold 'em] (1.00|2.00 No Limit - Cash Game) Real Money

- acesesup sitting in seat 1 with $69.50
- Jana57 sitting in seat 2 with $195.00
- TNSANTA sitting in seat 3 with $157.20
- kallia sitting in seat 4 with $349.95
- easymeat sitting in seat 5 with $215.73
- RedGunner sitting in seat 6 with $330.00
- Kaniniz sitting in seat 7 with $200.00
- Rejvar sitting in seat 8 with $97.60
- johnny291281 sitting in seat 9 with $219.50
- jishii sitting in seat 10 with $199.65 [Dealer]

acesesup posted the small blind - $1.00
Jana57 posted the big blind - $2.00

** Dealing card to johnny291281: 8 of Diamonds, 9 of Clubs

TNSANTA folded
kallia called - $2.00
easymeat called - $2.00
RedGunner called - $2.00
Kaniniz folded
Rejvar called - $2.00
johnny291281 called - $2.00
jishii raised - $14.00
acesesup folded
Jana57 folded
kallia called - $14.00
easymeat called - $14.00
RedGunner called - $14.00
Rejvar called - $14.00
johnny291281 called - $14.00

** Dealing the flop: 8 of Clubs, 7 of Diamonds, 6 of Hearts

kallia checked
easymeat bet - $16.00
RedGunner folded
Rejvar called - $16.00
johnny291281 called - $16.00
jishii went all-in - $185.65
kallia folded
easymeat folded
Rejvar went all-in - $67.60
johnny291281 called - $185.65
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bdawg56kg
Old 03-30-2006, 11:32 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I think this is mostly an EV calculation, but my default play is to raise/push the flop. There's so much dead money that you would gladly take it down right there. I also fold this preflop. But the numbers might make your line better...
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jackvance
Old 03-30-2006, 11:56 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Pretty balsy call there preflop. They're connectors but not even suited. Assuming no-one else hit their straight, you'll be facing PP in the worst case scenario. So you got nice odds to beat those. 8 outs on the straight, 2 outs for a set, 3 outs for two pair. I think with TP and a double-barreled straight draw, you should push hard, possibly even all-in on the flop.

With 2 all-ins, you still got good odds there to call here I guess. Assuming an overpair, and that a straight, set or 2 pair will take it home, you got 48.1% to hit. That's a cointoss, but considering your share into the pot, worth it. Mathematically. There's ofcourse still that 51.9% that you'll be out that $185.
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