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Stealing Pots on 9 high flops

  
 
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KY_Ace
Old 03-08-2006, 10:02 AM     Post subject: Stealing Pots on 9 high flops #1 (permalink)  
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KY_Ace
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When the flop is 9 high, 63% of the time an overcard to the top pair on the flop will fall on the turn or river. I applied this concept in the folloiwng example:

$10 NL

Hand Actions
Stackin Chips dealer
glavon SB $ 0.05
Jawz AJd
kingtut24 Call $ 0.10
canuhandle Fold
Jawz Raise $ 0.40
Bigapp Call $ 0.40
Stackin Chips Call $ 0.40
glavon Fold
phatchillin Call $ 0.30
kingtut24 Call $ 0.30
pot = $2.05

FLOP: 4 9 3
phatchillin Bet $ 0.10
kingtut24 Fold $ 0.00
Jawz Raise $ 1.85
Bigapp Fold
Stackin Chips Fold
pot = $5.75

TURN: 6
phatchillin Check
Jawz Bet $ 1.50
phatchillin Call $ 1.50
pot = $8.75

RIVER: 10
phatchillin Check
Jawz All-in $ 5.05
phatchillin Fold
pot = $8.69

Jawz Mucks Cards
Jawz Wins $ 8.69

When my opponent called the flop on this flop I knew he had a pair of nines and punished him for betting such a weak hand on the flop. My point here is that on a nine high flop the aggressor will usually win unless their opponent makes 2 pair or better. If the turn and river card were both lower than ten I would have checked and gave up onthe hand, but this is rarely the case.
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Lukie
Old 03-11-2006, 03:05 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 I usually just check/fold this flop with so many players involved. Do you put your stack on the line with ace-high post-flop often? This really looks like chip spewing to me, but if you really thought this guy was going to fold, hats off to ya...
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sejje
Old 03-11-2006, 03:41 PM #3 (permalink)  
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If I thought my nine was good on the flop and called the turn, I would never fold that river.

I could only see it if you were check-calling.

I think villian folded a missed draw.
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