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Standard? Overpair goes to flushed river

  
 
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Pelion
Old 04-07-2006, 08:10 PM     Post subject: Standard? Overpair goes to flushed river #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 92/4 after 24 hands

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

SB ($9.90)
BB ($9.40)
Hero ($10.65)
UTG+1 ($7.70)
MP1 ($14.75)
MP2 ($11.80)
MP3 ($5.60)
CO ($10)
Button ($7.35)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, K.
Hero raises to $0.5, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.50, 5 folds.

Flop: ($1.15) 3, 9, Q (2 players)
Hero bets $0.8, MP2 calls $0.80.

Turn: ($2.75) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.1, MP2 calls $2.10.

River: ($6.95) T (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $5, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $11.95
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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Fnord
Old 04-07-2006, 08:41 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Standard. Although I might value bet the river against this tool.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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DaHorror
Old 04-07-2006, 10:00 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Good point - but, in this case how much would you consider a value bet, where you can dump if raised, but which won't indicate weakness and prompt a reraise from anyone who figures out you weren't drawing to the flush?

$2.50 to $3.00? Doesn't leave you will all that much behind, but at least if you are raised here, you can be confident that you are beat, or at least outplayed by a brave bluffer (not often at this limit).

The problem here is you don't know if you are faced with AQ, QT, QJ, etc. I hate dumping a solid hand on the river to the obvious draw when it's headsup - if you're 3-4 way, you can assume that 1 caller is drawing...but in this case, he could have a set, he could have just 1 pair, or he could have the flush. If I flush someone, I don't tend to bet this much on the river as a value bet...though often enough it's not terrible as it looks like it doesn't want to be called, but does, and probably is called.
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littlewashu
Old 04-08-2006, 03:36 PM #4 (permalink)  
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wow tough hand to get away from. I think I might call here and probably loose to a flush
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midas06
Old 04-08-2006, 03:45 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I'd tend towards a blocking bet on the river
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jackvance
Old 04-08-2006, 04:03 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 Maybe you just folded against AQ/KQ or a simple bluff because you showed fear on the river. Yes he might have a flush, or a straight with KJ (he might have 'felt lucky' holding this on the flop and turn).. but I'd definately bet around 1/2 pot on the river to get some information. (blocking bet)

I mean, checking on the river after a "possible flush" hits after raising all the streets before, is just asking for your opp to bluff you out of a better hand.
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