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SHould I pick this guy off here?

  
 
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ProZachNation
Old 04-24-2006, 02:48 PM     Post subject: SHould I pick this guy off here? #1 (permalink)  
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No real read here on about the 2nd orbit at the table villian hasnt done anything to stand out in my mind yet.

I am about am maybe 60% sure this is a stone cold bluff if I am last to act after this guy I am raising here usually but with 2 other guys behind me I didnt here. Should I still have tried to pick off his bluff?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($23.35)
MP3 ($20.85)
CO ($23.10)
Button ($22.75)
Hero ($25.60)
BB ($29.02)
UTG ($43.05)
UTG+1 ($24.15)
UTG+2 ($24.80)
MP1 ($31.55)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K. Hero posts a blind of $0.10.
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, CO raises to $1, 1 fold, Hero (poster) calls $0.90, 1 fold, UTG calls $0.75, MP1 calls $0.75.

Flop: ($4.25) 7, 5, 8 (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP1 checks, CO bets $3, Hero folds, UTG folds, MP1 folds.

Final Pot: $7.25
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrhappy333
I didn't think its Bold to bang some chick with my bro. but i guess so... thats +EV in my book.
 
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finky
Old 04-24-2006, 03:43 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Not without a read. You may have to play 2 more streets OOP and wthout knowing how he responds to ck-raises or if he can raise/fold medium pairs, its just too risky.
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theDEEPdish
Old 04-24-2006, 05:06 PM #3 (permalink)  
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if he c/bets alot then this is a good place to reraise him although alot of people at 25 nl only bet when they have a hand and your out of position so if he calls your reraise your not in a good spot
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Renton
Old 04-24-2006, 05:58 PM #4 (permalink)  
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i'd 3bet him preflop big. AK has a lot of equity against almost every hand before the flop. Plus, you'll likely take it down on the flop even if he calls.
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gabe
Old 04-24-2006, 08:06 PM #5 (permalink)  
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too many people saw the flop for you to take it there.

consider reraising preflop when lots of people are trying to see the flop
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bigred
Old 04-24-2006, 09:12 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Reraise preflop.

I'm interested as to how he has a 60% chance of a bluff when you have little to no read. Is it truly this or are you just simply angry about folding AK.
LOL OPERATIONS
 
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ProZachNation
Old 04-24-2006, 10:43 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Bigred I say 60% because you cant be positive but I "knew" he was bluffing here.

I need to start reraising AK preflop more I think.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrhappy333
I didn't think its Bold to bang some chick with my bro. but i guess so... thats +EV in my book.
 
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bigred
Old 04-24-2006, 10:50 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ProZachNation
Bigred I say 60% because you cant be positive but I "knew" he was bluffing here.

I need to start reraising AK preflop more I think.
And I was asking how you "knew"
LOL OPERATIONS
 
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ProZachNation
Old 04-25-2006, 02:02 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Ok at 25NL I have seen a lot of players make raises with a lot of limpers trying to steal the pot, I had seen him do this once before. The average 25NL person is usually raising more than 4X with AA-QQ from what I have seen so far. I put him on AK-9, KQ-J, 99-QQ and maybe a pocket pair.

If he does hit his set here, I dont think hes going to bet out this strong here. ANd it just felt so god awful standard of a cont. bet.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrhappy333
I didn't think its Bold to bang some chick with my bro. but i guess so... thats +EV in my book.
 
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