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Should i be confident that i am ahead here?

  
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 12-07-2005, 09:33 PM     Post subject: Should i be confident that i am ahead here? #1 (permalink)  
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 I have no reads on anyone, this is $10 5 - max

Game #1138536760 - (blinds $0.05/$0.10) No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2005/12/07-16:21:21.7 (CST) Table "Nuku (5 max)" (real money) -- Seat 3 is the button Seat 1: 1bomber ($11.22 in chips) Seat 2: pokerchris00 ($5.00 in chips) Seat 3: PtkBrass ($2.23 in chips) Seat 4: redgrape ($9.95 in chips) Seat 5: blackjacked ($3.90 in chips)
redgrape: Post Small Blind ($0.05)
blackjacked: Post Big Blind ($0.10)
pokerchris00: Post ($0.10)
Dealt to redgrape [ Qc ]
Dealt to redgrape [ As ]
1bomber : Raise ($0.20)
pokerchris00: Call ($0.10)
PtkBrass: Call ($0.20)
redgrape: Raise ($0.50)
blackjacked: Call ($0.45)
1bomber : Call ($0.35)
pokerchris00: Fold
PtkBrass: Fold
*** FLOP *** : [ Kd Ah Qd ]
redgrape: Bet ($1.90)
blackjacked: Fold
1bomber : Call ($1.90)
*** TURN *** : [ Kd Ah Qd ] [ 8c ]
redgrape: Bet ($7.50)


results in white:
1bomber : Call ($7.50)
*** RIVER *** : [ Kd Ah Qd 8c ] [ 9h ]
*** SUMMARY ***
Pot: $19.85 | Rake: $1
Board: [ Kd Ah Qd 8c 9h ]
1bomber bet $9.95, collected $19.85, net +$9.90 (showed hand) [ Kh Ad ] (two pair, aces and kings) pokerchris00 lost $0.20 (folded)
PtkBrass lost $0.20 (folded)
redgrape lost $9.95 (showed hand) [ Qc As ] (two pair, aces and queens) blackjacked lost $0.55 (folded)
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sejje
Old 12-07-2005, 10:42 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I play it the same, doesn't mean I'm overly confident. I think often enough to keep betting it hard.

TJ would probably call that raise at that limit, but so does KQ, AQ. JJ would probably try and hit his gutshot. AJ, AT play there...I can think of a ton of hands that play that you have beat, and one (likely) that has you beat.

Definitely looking pretty good on that flop.
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azureXsmurF
Old 12-08-2005, 12:58 AM #3 (permalink)  
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I would've played that the same way... only likely hands he could be playing that would have you beat are JT and AK, as he would've reraised you preflop with maybe JJ, and almost definitely QQ/KK/AA. And I think if he called PF with 88 or 99 he would've folded after your flop bet.
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PokerPatNEU
Old 12-08-2005, 02:15 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I don't like the turn push.

Pot is just around 7$, you put your last 8$ in. I can't think of many worse hands that are calling. AJ/AT should make the fold easily, maybe KQ will call. All the hands that beat you will call.

I prefer to bet 4$ there. Pair with a gutshot might chase, pair with a flush draw as well. Both draws are getting bad odds. You are commited, yes, and you can't fold if he comes over on you...But if you push all your chips in anyway the same hands that he is pushing over with are going to just call your all in.
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Silly String
Old 12-08-2005, 02:28 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I am confident I am ahead here.

This may be nit-picking, but why overbet the pot on the turn? After a flop caller, he isn't playing around. Did you think he was a draw or were you trying to get it all in the middle while you were ahead? I would rachet it back to 2/3rds or 3/4 pot. It is likely going to end up in the middle anyway, but that will help you at higher levels when the money is deeper and smaller PFR's don't cause people to get it all in so quick.
Sux that he had position on you. That cost you money here. Oh and that board looks like a mine field for two pair.
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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Silly String
Old 12-08-2005, 02:30 PM #6 (permalink)  
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I see Pat beat me to it.
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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