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Set on a scary board. Easy fold?

  
 
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Ravageur
Old 06-14-2006, 04:21 PM     Post subject: Set on a scary board. Easy fold? #1 (permalink)  
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Setup : Funnily enough I took a stab at 600 NL 6-max before this and had a decent session (I'm ridiculously under-rolled for it ) and then got my wits about me and came back to 400 NL and 200 NL 6 max. Funny part is, I think I insta-call this hand at 600 NL against a decent player because I know he's good enough to play a draw strongly. But against these 200 NL fish I often see these ridiculous open pushes with a made hand 'thinking' it looks fishy (gawwd damnit it still is!)

So what do you think? Easy fold or am I leading here?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($107.19)
BB ($216.75)
UTG ($121.39)
Hero ($263.79)
CO ($200.24)
Button ($237.18)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 5, 5. SB posts a blind of $1.
UTG raises to $5, Hero calls $5, 3 folds, BB calls $3.

Flop: ($16) 5, 6, 2 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $5, Hero raises to $20, BB folds, UTG calls $15.

Turn: ($56) 7 (2 players)
UTG calls $96.39 (All-In), Hero ?
Family Cruise IMO
 
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Ravageur
Old 06-14-2006, 04:26 PM     Post subject: Abbendum #2 (permalink)  
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abbendum....
No real read on Villain either than he seems to suck.
My table image is lagg, I run 30/16 at these stakes but i doubt he's aware enough to have a clue.
Family Cruise IMO
 
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Genitruc
Old 06-14-2006, 04:30 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 Ewwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww

I hate this hand and wish situations like this didn't exist.

i feel like 1/2 the time you are drawing to 10 outs on river and 1/2 rhe time he is probably drawing to like 17 outs on river. So true that this is fishy-looking. I kill myself if I fold and he turns over Ad.

Obv question though is why do this on turn if he already has nuts? u answered it by saying 'cuz it looks fish". usuallly this is a river tactic though. No?

Tough hand.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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samsonite2100
Old 06-14-2006, 05:13 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Maybe something like 9x9d/TxTd? Whatever the case, I'm calling here. I think you're actually ahead probably around 1/2 the time, maybe slightly more, and when you factor in river redraws, it's substantially +EV.
 
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andr3w321
Old 06-14-2006, 05:30 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I fold here and don't even think twice about it. But I'm also a weak-tight nit. You can find better spots to commit your stack than this even if this might be slightly +EV (which I doubt it is). It seems to me he has a made flush but is afraid of you holding the Ad and sucking out on him.
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