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mixchange
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03-27-2007, 10:10 PM
Post subject: River Value maximization w/ FH
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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Villain is new to table, sat for one orbit. No reads.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Hero ($44.50)
CO ($63.30)
Button ($43.20)
SB ($50.95)
BB ($50)
UTG ($70)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 3 , 3 .
UTG calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, 1 fold, Button calls $0.50, 1 fold, BB checks.
Flop: ($2.25) T, Q , 3 (4 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1, Button calls $1, BB folds, UTG folds.
Turn: ($4.25) T (2 players)
Hero bets $2, Button calls $2.
River: ($8.25) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, Button raises to $10, Hero ?
On flop I know I have to bet, but I don't want to scare off non-Q hands in a multiway pot many people fold to a strong bet unless they have TP or a solid draw. It's a nice rainbow board, so I can
On the turn (stupidly) I bet half pot thinking well, I don't want to scare away someone who isn't a 10 who might have called with a Queen, and if someone has the 10 they'll probably re-raise me. Probably should have gone for $3.
On river, I figure my initial bet has a TPTK possibly paying me off (but not likely) and maybe 2p. I figure a 10 will re-raise, suddenly I am re-raised.. .
Push river, or simply re-raise for value? Since villain is in a pot with no PF raises, he could easily have 10-rag and fold to a push. But he might be willing to call a moderate raise since he's already so invested in the pot.
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KoRnholio
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,165
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The only real hand I am worried about is QT, but that is very unlikely. He probably does have T-rag here and might well call a push...
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Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
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Jimmy Mac
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Full House
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Drinking your milkshake.
Posts: 950
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I don't see many players at this level folding once they have raised on the river. He clearly likes his hand, so I push.
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JJDAMAN
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: UVIC
Posts: 106
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They said it. He probably has a 10 and thinks its the nuts. I doubt hes folding so PUUUSH! You definately should bet more on every street though, especially turn. I understand you dont want to scare off a Q, but if hes calling 2, he's def calling 3.. etc.
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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hero raises to $25 for value as opp wont call a push IMO unless hes bad or else has a bigger boat.
If we knew in advance hes bad then its a push and i guess versus a non-reg its a push...
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bbqsquirrel
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Flush
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Vancouver, Canada
Posts: 260
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Very easy shove.
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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You guys are right he probably would have called a shove. I raised to $20 for 'value' and he instacalled in under half a second. I think he woulda instacalled a push too, even though he ends up mucking 10 5
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EzDuzIt
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Green Bay
Posts: 915
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i would have raised $30 but a push works too.
20 is probably a is just trying to suck out too little here when your in a situation to extract a lot like this.
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