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river trips top kicker
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Lukie
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03-15-2006, 09:27 PM
Post subject: river trips top kicker
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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hand is a couple weeks old.
NL100, 9-handed
Stacks: UTG has $61. MP has $160. Hero covers.
Reads: UTG was playing a lot of pots and very often coming in for a raise. UTG min-raise from this guy certainly does not mean a big hand. MP was pretty loose, but not a donk. vpip ~30 if i remember correctly. And I do.
UTG raises to $2. Hero is UTG+1 with AKs.. suits don't matter, and raises to $8. MP calls. UTG calls. 3 to the flop.
Flop 487r. UTG checks, Hero bets $15, MP calls, UTG folds. MP could have a set, be floating, or have something like QQ/KK
Turn A. Hero checks. MP bets $23. Hero calls.
River A. Hero pushes. I think given the way the hand played out, he can call with a worse hand here, perhaps something like QQ or KK. An under-full is certainly a worry here, but I'm thinking there's a good chance he dumps a smaller pp pf to my 3-bet with original PFRer still needing to be heard from, and I also think there's some value in this push, as better hands fold here approximately never. Thoughts?
Effective stacks remaining on the river were $114 btw.
Thoughts?
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bdawg56kg
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Full House
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Honolulu
Posts: 1,201
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Lukie, do you think MP bets this turn with KK/QQ when you check it to him? Seems odd. I probably value bet this river or CR all in, depending on how likely you think he is to bet this river. I don't like open pushing here, unless you think you can really sell a bluff. Ax has a hard time calling off 114BB's if you push, especially after you 3-bet pre. Why no turn lead?
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sejje
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 883
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I like a check-raise if he's prone to bet--I'll lead if he's going to check behind Ax or KK, QQ.
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