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Really bad Fold?

  
 
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ilosemostly
Old 04-26-2007, 04:23 AM     Post subject: Really bad Fold? #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 67
ilosemostly
***** Hand History for Game 5911546848 *****
$10 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, April 26, 00:09:51 ET 2007
Table Table 131222 (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 2: thinkasjd111 ( $9.56 USD )
Seat 5: andreKBZ ( $17.90 USD )
Seat 7: flakkz0r ( $7.67 USD )
Seat 4: Hero ( $18.22 USD )
Seat 8: Kamzermat ( $9.50 USD )
Seat 3: ChaosAA ( $2.70 USD )
Seat 6: Shnizzl1982 ( $1.70 USD )
Seat 10: dailyrest ( $2 USD )
Seat 1: Folken101 ( $9.90 USD )
Kamzermat posts small blind [$0.05 USD].
dailyrest posts big blind [$0.10 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero[ 9h As ]
Folken101 calls [$0.10 USD]
thinkasjd111 calls [$0.10 USD]
ChaosAA folds
Hero [$0.10 USD]
andreKBZ folds
Shnizzl1982 folds
flakkz0r folds
Kamzermat calls [$0.05 USD]
dailyrest checks
** Dealing Flop ** [ 8h, 2d, Ah ]
Kamzermat checks
dailyrest checks
Folken101 bets [$0.20 USD]
thinkasjd111 folds
Hero raises [$0.40 USD]
Kamzermat calls [$0.40 USD]
dailyrest folds
Folken101 calls [$0.20 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 9c ]
Kamzermat checks
Folken101 bets [$0.70 USD]
Hero raises [$1.40 USD]
Kamzermat raises [$2.10 USD]
Folken101 calls [$1.40 USD]
Hero Calls [$0.70 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 6d ]
Kamzermat is all-In [$6.90 USD]
Folken101 is all-In [$7.30 USD]
Hero folds
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Jimmy Mac
Old 04-26-2007, 04:46 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Posts: 950
Jimmy Mac
Fold preflop, A9o play good multiway does not. As played, raise more on the flop - you're giving odds to draw out, and you'd like to end the hand now. Raise more on the turn too, and I'd call the river since you have the best two pair, gread pot odds, and the flush missed.
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drtofu66
Old 04-27-2007, 03:37 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Flush

Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 595
drtofu66
As Jimmy said, fold PF.

As played-- I can't find a fold here without a strong read. Looks to me like Folken's got an A that you're obviously beating. At 10NL, any 2 hearts would play the flop and turn this way and Kamzermat may be doing that annoying all-in-missed-FD thing or backdoored a straight while hoping for the flush to hit (which is why you need to raise the turn a lot more). If either had a set they played it weird and bad but I'm probably paying it off with effective <100bb stacks and not feeling too bad about it if I lose since I got almost 3:1 on the call. According to PokerStove, assuming at 10NL that Folken can't let go of his A which is quite likely and with all the other probable 2 pair combinations, you've got massive equity here even if they have a set or straight and we don't even include the random 2 heart hands that are pushing with a missed FD:

6,034 games 0.005 secs 1,206,800 games/sec

Board: 8h 2d Ah 9c 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 73.406% 70.47% 02.94% 4252 177.33 { As9h }
Hand 1: 13.297% 11.82% 01.48% 713 89.33 { 88, 22, A2s+, Th7h, 98s, 7h5h, A2o+, 98o }
Hand 2: 13.297% 11.82% 01.48% 713 89.33 { 88, 22, A2s+, Th7h, 98s, 7h5h, A2o+, 98o }
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Miffed22001
Old 04-27-2007, 07:35 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Straight Flush

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Posts: 8,181
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dont play offsooted aces anywhere but the button and then you should be attacking the blinds, which probably isnt worth it at 10nl anyway.
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