Originally Posted by Vrax

Recent situation from sportingbet room.

$25 full table filled mostly with tight passive set-farmers, 2 loose passive fishes and few TAGs.


I get AA UTG. Standard raise 5x, 3 callers UTG+1, MP, CO. Callers are big stacks. Blinds fold.

Pocket pairs, AK, ~AQ

Pot 21xBB. Flop is 892r. I fire 18xBB flop bet, MP minraises to 36BB. Folds to me. It's "just a minimum raise" but my flop bet was quite strong. What hands minraise the flop after such a aggression?

1) Overpair that puts you on an AK c-bet,
Most likely possibility. If you push/raise he folds.

2) possibe aggro. set,
Unlikely because its a pretty safe board for a set. He could take your stack over later streets by just calling. He risks you folding by raising and he's pushing out the people to act behind you.

3) JTs that wants a free river card
Not likely because of the size of your f lop bet.

Bet the pot, when the pot is so big and multiway? Or am I risking by getting called by better hands?

Good bet I think, this needs a big bet because its multiway.

Raise or fold? Push and bust him if he has lower overpair or go broke against a set?

Options:

1) Fold
Not good because you could have his overpair beaten at this point. Its more likely he has an overpair then a set.

2) Raise
If he has the set he'll push back and you can fold. If he has overpair he calls/folds. You dont get much more of his chips.

3) Call
This shows weakness, he deffinitly puts you on an AK if you do this. If you check-raise the turn you can probably get another good bet out of his overpair.

Conclusion:
The most likely hand he has is an overpair.
You are most likely ahead and he has little chance of catching up.
Based on this I think the call and check-raise the turn option is the best.