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QQ vs. unknown

  
 
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zook
Old 01-03-2007, 04:53 PM     Post subject: QQ vs. unknown #1 (permalink)  
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Villain has been at the table less than an orbit, no stats, no reads.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $0.50/$1 - 9 players - Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $145.80
UTG+1: $25.65
MP1: $100
Hero: $96
MP3: $59.55
CO: $91.85
Button: $31.50
SB: $68.65
BB: $256.80

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP2 with Q Q
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 raises to $4, Hero raises to $13, 6 folds, MP1 calls.

Flop: 2 5 6 ($28.5, 2 players)
MP1 bets $20, Hero...
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AHiltz
Old 01-03-2007, 05:25 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I don't see a set leading here, unless he's a donk. Just doesn't make sense to fear the flush heads up. He has 88-99 or a flush draw himself more often then not. Either call and give him a chance to fire again, or fire yourself right now.
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zenbitz
Old 01-03-2007, 06:29 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I put him on TT-AA, AKs, maybe a lower pair or set... although I think <99 usually just flat calls after the limper. I guess by re-raising PF, you are commiting to play for stacks on this flop.
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Da GOAT
Old 01-04-2007, 10:58 AM #4 (permalink)  
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i dont play at this level so...

probably a good chance its a probe/feeler bet. you RR his bet so he figures you for premium hands like JJ+,AQ+ (trying to get unpaired cards to fold for cheaper than a c/r). maybe he would c/r a set so he can gain an extra bet from you with unpaired cards.

regardless tho if you want to play your playing for your stack. i think id shove instead of call. if he has a PP maybe he puts you on draw more often than a higher PP or vice versa. i think shoving is better than calling since turn cards could kill action.
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stuck
Old 01-04-2007, 04:14 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Da GOAT
i think shoving is better than calling since turn cards could kill action.
Agreed.

Assuming the average player at 100NL, I'd say he could have 88+, with a slim chance at AA/KK. AcKc is a definately possibility. I like a hefty raise, as a fold is out of the question, and calling, as said above, could kill action depending on the turn card.
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zook
Old 01-04-2007, 04:58 PM #6 (permalink)  
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I agree that his range is likely AA-99, with AA/KK discounted because of no 3-bet pre-flop. So I'm wondering, does any hand that I beat (JJ-99) call a push here? My image at the table is aggressive, but not out of control.
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