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QQ vs flush flop

  
 
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Liam^
Old 06-21-2007, 08:44 PM     Post subject: QQ vs flush flop #1 (permalink)  
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Correct play here?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.04 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($4.72)
UTG ($5.27)
Hero ($4.81)
MP1 ($1.96)
MP2 ($5.62)
CO ($1.90)
Button ($2)
SB ($4.56)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q, Q. CO posts a blind of $0.06.
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.16, 4 folds, SB calls $0.14, BB calls $0.12.

Flop: ($0.54) T, J, 9 (3 players)
SB checks, BB bets $0.12, Hero ??
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bigspenda73
Old 06-21-2007, 08:58 PM #2 (permalink)  
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bigspenda73 will become famous soon enoughbigspenda73 will become famous soon enough
 I make it .70

I'd have to evaluate what the blinds did after that, but I'd have a hard time folding
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Jimmy Mac
Old 06-22-2007, 01:00 AM #3 (permalink)  
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70c sounds fine to me. Im happy playing for stacks on this flop.
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Liam^
Old 06-22-2007, 02:23 AM #4 (permalink)  
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So we're raising because we don't believe he hit the flush?
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Knytestorme
Old 06-22-2007, 03:54 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I'd say we're raising because we have an overpair plus an opened ended straight flush draw.

The only hands ahead of us here are AA/KK (would have reraise pre so rule them out) and Axs/Kxs which are posibilities but the number of outs you have make this worth playing for.

Against 2 random hands in the blinds
966,381,570 games 39.682 secs 24,353,146 games/sec

Board: Jh Th 9h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 72.567% 70.97% 01.60% 685834352 15440925.00 { QdQh }
Hand 1: 13.716% 12.60% 01.12% 121715825 10837321.50 { random }
Hand 2: 13.716% 12.60% 01.12% 121715825 10837321.50 { random }


Against both SB at 15% and BB at 20% we have
19,614,966 games 0.922 secs 21,274,366 games/sec

Board: Jh Th 9h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.679% 52.56% 02.12% 10309650 415651.17 { QdQh }
Hand 1: 22.989% 21.53% 01.46% 4222558 286703.17 { 77+, A7s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 22.332% 20.90% 01.43% 4099291 281112.67 { 66+, A4s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

So against either anyone defending their blinds (doubful against early raiser) or people playing relatively tight range you are over 50% to win...playing for stacks is a no-brainer

Even against a SB playing only top 5% of hands
6,184,647 games 0.234 secs 26,430,115 games/sec

Board: Jh Th 9h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.565% 44.65% 01.91% 2761732 118165.67 { QdQh }
Hand 1: 32.705% 31.53% 01.17% 1950069 72596.17 { 99+, AJs+, KQs, AKo }
Hand 2: 20.730% 19.34% 01.39% 1196250 85834.17 { 66+, A4s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
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