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QQ overpair, what should I do on the flop to a minraise?

  
 
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taipan168
Old 03-12-2007, 01:51 PM     Post subject: QQ overpair, what should I do on the flop to a minraise? #1 (permalink)  
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Opp is 29/7/5.5. What do I do to the flop minraise?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $30.35
UTG+1: $4.50
MP1: $11.35
MP2: $19.50
Hero: $24.65
CO: $9.70
Button: $24.15
SB: $34.60
BB: $12.10

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP3 with Q Q
UTG calls, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, SB raises to $2.25, 2 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: 9 3 3 ($5, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB raises to $8, Hero ????
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biondino
Old 03-12-2007, 03:29 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Oh dear. He has an overpair. Does he have TT/JJ or KK/AA? I think you probably have neutral EV here - this is usually such a straightforward play that you want to think about how he's played premium hands before, has he done any flop bluffing - oh! Stop! Hammerzeit! He has a 5.5 post-flop aggression factor? I am pushing this motherfucker (sorry, I read his PFAF as 1.5 initially) - I think he has AQ, AK often enough and feels, as PF 3-bettor, that he needs to take the pot down whatever happens.
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DaNutsInYoEye
Old 03-12-2007, 03:32 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Either 3-bet or call and push any turn <Q.
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zook
Old 03-12-2007, 06:44 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Are many 25NLers 3-betting lighter than QQ+/AK? This line looks like AA/KK to me. But a 5.5 pfa is really high. How many hands? If it's over 200+, this guy must be bluffing a ton, so I'm calling and hoping he fires again on a non-A/K turn. If the sample size is small I prob call and re-evaluate turn, folding to a strong lead.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 03-12-2007, 06:49 PM #5 (permalink)  
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This may be nitty but I say just fold.
I'm not just going to go this guy has TT+, it's pretty obvious his range is heavily weighted towards AA.
I'll take a 4 to 1 bet right now that he has AA. That's right, if he doesn't have AA i'll give u $4 to your $1. Any takers?

This is just too smelly of AA. I don't mind calling here and seeing if he'll give u a lot of cheapness, which kinda seems like he wants to do.
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