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QQ hand I saw on another forum

  
 
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pgil
Old 02-08-2008, 03:47 PM     Post subject: QQ hand I saw on another forum #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,103
pgil
illain (12.9/4.4/2.75/0.5/1.0/ATSB 12.24/~341)

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP2 ($101.70)
CO ($100)
Button ($92.50)
SB ($98.50)
Hero ($233.60)
UTG ($100.90)
UTG+1 ($70.10)
MP1 ($100)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, Q.
5 folds, Button raises to $5, 1 fold, Hero raises to $15, Button calls $10.

Flop: ($30.50) J, 7, 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $22, Button raises to $77.5, Hero ?

the consensus seemed to be easy fold....I was thinking instacall. Overpair in a 3-bet pot vs. a button steal. I apparently have to start being a lot more aggressive in these spots if people are even entertaining the notion of folding here.

Am I wrong on this hand?
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Jimmy Mac
Old 02-08-2008, 03:59 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Jimmy Mac
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

201,960 games 0.005 secs 40,392,000 games/sec

Board: Jc 7d 4h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.709% 33.24% 01.47% 67128 2970.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 65.291% 63.82% 01.47% 128892 2970.00 { JJ+, 77, 44, AJs, AJo }

We're getting 2.6-1, so its a call unless his range is pretty much sets and nothing else. You didnt give the suits but if its 2 tone its even more of a call, even nits know to shove the NFD here. The player described is pretty tight tho, so maybe its close but def not an easy fold imo.
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