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Overpair or overset?

  
 
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zook
Old 04-21-2006, 03:19 PM     Post subject: Overpair or overset? #1 (permalink)  
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CO is very tight and I put him on a high pocket pair. Unfortunately I don't have a read on UTG, which is a problem. What's your play here?

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Stack sizes:
UTG: $53.85
UTG+1: $40.15
MP1: $19.87
MP2: $49.50
CO: $52.73
zook: $80.91
SB: $55.40
BB: $43

Pre-flop: (8 players) zook is Button with 5 5
UTG calls, 3 folds, CO raises to $2, zook calls, 2 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: 9 5 7 ($6.75, 3 players)
UTG checks, CO bets $3.5, zook raises to $7, UTG raises to $14, CO calls, zook ???
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Renton
Old 04-21-2006, 03:32 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 Minraising is usually a very weak play when the pot is small.

I wouldn't even think about folding this hand. You are very possibly behind, but without a read on UTG I would call here and play it all the way to the river.
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WildBobAA
Old 04-21-2006, 03:41 PM #3 (permalink)  
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DaHorror
Old 04-21-2006, 03:48 PM #4 (permalink)  
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It is damn near impossible to tell (and definitely is in this case). That's why you just have to run with it. He could have limped Aces, have an overpair TT-QQ, or he could have 99 or 77 - you'll just have to pay him off in that case.

Now - if you had raised to $10-12 on the flop, and had then been reraised allin or something, you MIGHT be able to get away from it...even then, I don't think I've read of but one case of someone folding set over set around here, and it wasn't in a case like this.
I know I never have and I just live with it...
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Stripclubjunkie
Old 04-21-2006, 04:04 PM #5 (permalink)  
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zook
Old 04-21-2006, 06:47 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Thanks for the reassurance. I pushed, both called, UTG showed 99 and CO showed AA. I sat out a hand and rebought in full.
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KoRnholio
Old 04-21-2006, 10:33 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 I doubt UTG has AA here, since he limp-called preflop. Unless he's a donk who would either check raise two guys showing strength with a worse overpair or limp a hand like 86 or 95, then it's hard to put him on anything other than a set here. I'd still push unless my read was very strong that he wasn't a donk.
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