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over pair and open ended straight draw, fold or push?

  
 
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daven
Old 08-20-2007, 08:45 PM     Post subject: over pair and open ended straight draw, fold or push? #1 (permalink)  
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as micro as it gets. But... still some difficult positions sometimes, should i push or fold here? I think that calling is lame, but maybe not? no reads, but I imagine AA-ten ten, AK, AQ are about his range here. If he has an overpair i think i still have ten clean outs, unless he has ten ten, so I guess it comes down to how often he is folding... .

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.04 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

Hero ($10.43)
MP2 ($5.49)
MP3 ($4.09)
CO ($11.20)
Button ($2.47)
SB ($5)
BB ($7.64)
UTG ($4.96)
UTG+1 ($3.56)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with , .
UTG raises to $0.16, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.16, 6 folds.

Flop: ($0.38) , , (2 players)
UTG bets $0.25, Hero raises to $0.5, UTG calls $0.25.

Turn: ($1.38) (2 players)
UTG bets $1, Hero ?
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spoonitnow
Old 08-20-2007, 09:53 PM #2 (permalink)  
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If I'm not mistaken, villain has $3.3 behind after his turn bet. If we take the fantasy scenario that you are never behind if you hit on the river and that you always stack your opponent when you hit, then you're getting about 5.7:1 on your call when you'd need odds of about 4.7:1. Since this fantasy scenario is extremely one-sided, and that you lose a bit of money when you hit on the river if you're behind, I'd be inclined to fold if you think you're behind on the turn.

However, this is 4nl so it's hard for me to have a feel for villain's range. If villain is pretty tight here, then I'd probably fold. The turn bet screams overpair to me, but I could be wrong.
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wouterpoker
Old 08-21-2007, 12:25 AM #3 (permalink)  

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raise the flop more to around 1. i would call the turn and probably C/F the river (or push if i hit)
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