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Near Nut Flushes

  
 
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Crazy Scot
Old 06-27-2006, 04:16 PM     Post subject: Near Nut Flushes #1 (permalink)  

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Crazy Scot
What would you do in a situation like this? Villian seemed pretty solid. Do you agree with the river raise? What about the call of the reraise allin? Would you give credit for the king and just give it up?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($21.70)
SB ($24.25)
BB ($7.90)
UTG ($14.15)
UTG+1 ($23.95)
MP1 ($29.50)
MP2 ($4.75)
MP3 ($40.73)
CO ($21.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, Q. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
3 folds, MP2 calls $0.25, MP3 raises to $0.5, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.50, 1 fold, BB calls $0.25, MP2 calls $0.25.

Flop: ($2.10) 3, A, J (4 players)
BB checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets $1, Hero calls $1, BB calls $1, MP2 folds.

Turn: ($5.10) Q (3 players)
BB checks, MP3 bets $1, Hero calls $1, BB calls $1.

River: ($8.10) 6 (3 players)
BB checks, MP3 bets $2, Hero raises to $10, BB folds, MP3 raises to $38, Hero calls $9.20 (All-In).

Final Pot: $65.30
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andy-akb
Old 06-27-2006, 04:21 PM #2 (permalink)  
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With your stack size I dont like a reraise putting in over half your chips because you cant fold if he 3bets. This is a tough spot because his bet is so small and you have a decent hand that you want to get more value from. However, given your stack size I really dont know if raising is correct, I dont think a Td is going to stack off against you, especially if villain is solid. I would probably call.
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givememyleg
Old 06-27-2006, 04:27 PM #3 (permalink)  
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The only hand I can possibly think he could have that you would beat here is a hand like 9 T and just can't fold because he is "pissed" that last fell.

I lead more towards calling the river rather than raising (esspecially as large as you did), because if he does happen to reraise, he shows you the K 9/10. I doubt the T or less calls a large raise.

One of the reasons I don't like calling down to 1 card flushes... you hardly ever get paid off.

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KoRnholio
Old 06-27-2006, 04:27 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I'm always warry of the multiple street blocking bets with a 3 flush on the board. I'd say a good 75% of the time this is Kdx looking to get there cheap. If you want to raise the river, I'd only pop it to $5-6, fold to a push.
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samsonite2100
Old 06-27-2006, 05:37 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I raise the turn--as ^^^ says, this play is so often a flush draw blocking bet. As played, yes, small reraise, fold to push.
 
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Renton
Old 06-27-2006, 06:01 PM #6 (permalink)  
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raising this river sucks i think

just call
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Crazy Scot
Old 06-28-2006, 08:03 AM #7 (permalink)  

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Crazy Scot
Guess I have a new rule to follow, dump all non-nut 1 card flush draws, or should I try to keep the pot small, and stay in it for the straight draw? Although with three diamonds on the board already that cuts my straight outs to three, and a percentage of the time I am already drawing dead so maybe that is a bad idea too.

I also called a preflop raise with KQos, probably not a good idea.

BTW as you suspected villian showed Kd/rag and I was rebuying
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