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KK vs SNE chasing nit

  
 
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badgers
Old 10-31-2009, 01:55 PM     Post subject: KK vs SNE chasing nit #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is Prairie..Hawk. He is a big nit, I have him at 14/11 over 2k hands. His stats also show a 6% 3bet over that sample, but in my previous database he had a 2-3% 3bet (I can't recall exactly) over a far larger sample so I'm ignoring that stat. We haven't tangled for a while and there's no way I can even consider stacking off because his 5bet shoving range is AA (jyms it's still poker just a bit nitter).

My range for calling his 3bet is ridiculously narrow and he should know this. Until he adjusts and starts attacking my EP raises (which will be never ever) I fold JJ and AKo here preflop. Given that my range is so narrow, I'm kinda tempted to shove and rep QQ/AdKd. I think he will fold AA on this board since it is so difficult for me to have air. He basically has to put me on KK/JJ bluffing to make the call. Repping one hand is usually bad but when my range is so narrow surely it must be considered?



$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($100)
Hero ($216.70)
MP1 ($329.45)
MP2 ($77.75)
MP3 ($338.60)
CO ($286.85)
BTN ($106.55)
SB ($424.80)
BB ($267.25)

Pre-Flop: ($3, 9 players) Hero is UTG+1
1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 2 folds, MP3 raises to $26, 4 folds, Hero calls $18

Flop: ($55, 2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $32, Hero calls $32

Turn: ($119, 2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks

River: ($119, 2 players)
$160 behind
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Deanglow
Old 10-31-2009, 02:47 PM #2 (permalink)  
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daven
Old 10-31-2009, 09:35 PM     Post subject: Re: KK vs SNE chasing nit #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
Villain is Prairie..Hawk. He is a big nit, I have him at 14/11 over 2k hands. His stats also show a 6% 3bet over that sample, but in my previous database he had a 2-3% 3bet (I can't recall exactly) over a far larger sample so I'm ignoring that stat.

I think he will fold AA on this board since it is so difficult for me to have air.
ok, you obviously put his 3-betting range wider than AA. So now you're asking whether you should turn your overpair into a bluff. Yet you're still ahead of his range (if he's such a nit then AdKx, AQ, KK are all still in there after the turn checks around).
Also, if he's that much of a nit then he's not raising the river with AA if you block, but will probably find a call with AQ and perhaps even AK.

I like value vs AQ here more than bluffing. $40 should do it. Nits like this rarely bluff-raise rivers for stacks, but they can hero-spew-call a river shove here with AA.

Looking at the hand more closely makes me wonder about flop play too.
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

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