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Illfavor
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08-16-2009, 07:14 PM
Post subject: KK- 4bet pot OOP vs. unknown
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Denton, TX
Posts: 1,152
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Villain was a complete unknown. 0/0 through 7 hands.
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG MrAllMoney ($49.35)
UTG+1 Hero ($55.25)
MP1 Nystul ($47.00)
MP2 KommepC777 ($11.50)
MP3 Jaraz ($59.70)
CO okfireman38 ($52.25)
BTN lamort1985 ($8.50)
SB renull ($11.50)
BB snaggleflopper ($40.35)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is UTG+1
MrAllMoney calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.25, 3 folds, okfireman38 raises to $7, 3 folds, MrAllMoney folds, Hero raises to $16, okfireman38 calls $9
Flop: ($33.25, 2 players)
Hero...?
B/f? Bet sizing if so? C/f? I'm assigned him a fairly tight range (QQ/AK) which are equally as likely here. I was pretty lost here...
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Ich grolle nicht...
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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so gay
i think this is a c/f then cry. If you try and assign him a wider range than what you did it only gets worse since JJ/AA are possible.. TT/AQ are very unlikely.
LAME
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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BankItDrew
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Losing Prop Bets
Posts: 2,789
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I like $11 bets here then shutting down.
What it accomplishes is avoids huge bets oop while also maintaining that the villain $9 call was a mistake.
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Girlfriend: Why are the werewolves more important than living life?!
Girlfriend: Are you on the forums doing the werewolves again?
Girlfriend: Soo... you forgot to run that errand, but you had time to werewolf? Wtf?
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settecba
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: stealing blinds from UTG
Posts: 326
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by BankItDrew
I like $11 bets here then shutting down.
What it accomplishes is avoids huge bets oop while also maintaining that the villain $9 call was a mistake.
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Could you explain that please?
Im such a noob...Thanks
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BankItDrew
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Losing Prop Bets
Posts: 2,789
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1) Avoids larger bets oop on a bad flop - exactly what it says. Shows a lot of weakness, villain with weaker hand may decide to fire again on turn which makes our hand worth tossing away.
2) Villains $9 call preflop was a mistake - Let's say villain had a hand like AQ and had 3 outs. KK vs 3 outs is like worst case scenario for our hand. Villain hits their ace on the flop approx. 1 in 6 (16.5%). So, villain needs to take the $9 raise amount, multiply it by 6 ($54), and that is the average amount they need to take in after they hit their ace. This is the same sort of logic behind set mining.
Thus far in the hand, here's the math: (total pot preflop) $33.25 - (calling amount) $9 = $24.25, from the point of the 4bet villain needs to bring in on average another $29.75 (54 - 24.25).
So really, even if we bet like 4/5th pot on flop ($26.60) then shut down, villains preflop $9 is still a mistake long term.
I hope that clears things up on that front.
Also, it's important to note that it should be obvious that the highest +EV is probably not to bet $11 but to rather be able to hand read this specific villain very well. There could be a lot of value to be gained from playing this hand passively yet not folding. The $11 bet is just the best way to play it vs. a 'completely unknown.'
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Girlfriend: Why are the werewolves more important than living life?!
Girlfriend: Are you on the forums doing the werewolves again?
Girlfriend: Soo... you forgot to run that errand, but you had time to werewolf? Wtf?
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settecba
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: stealing blinds from UTG
Posts: 326
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Thanks..great explanation
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by ISF
Getting good at poker is like that scene in the matrix where Neo suddenly sees that everyone is just a bunch of structured numbers and then he starts bending those numbers in really weird ways.
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drew is a genius sometimes
but suuuuch a donk other times
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Sprayed
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: GO BUCKS!
Posts: 3,057
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by BankItDrew
Also, it's important to note that it should be obvious that the highest +EV is probably not to bet $11 but to rather be able to hand read this specific villain very well. There could be a lot of value to be gained from playing this hand passively yet not folding. The $11 bet is just the best way to play it vs. a 'completely unknown.'
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Is this ^^^ similar to the infamous gabe KK thread?
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BankItDrew
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Losing Prop Bets
Posts: 2,789
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link plz
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Girlfriend: Why are the werewolves more important than living life?!
Girlfriend: Are you on the forums doing the werewolves again?
Girlfriend: Soo... you forgot to run that errand, but you had time to werewolf? Wtf?
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Sprayed
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: GO BUCKS!
Posts: 3,057
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I can't seem to find it. It was several years ago in the SNG forum. He talked about check calling with KK on and A high flop. I figured someone would have posted the link.
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...ce-t21766.html
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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I think it's a fairly different spot though because in this spot I want to c/f instead of c/bluffcatch. Also, this isn't really a hand against an unknown, I think there is a large difference between this being someone's first hand and it being their 8th hand having played none before.
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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