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Halv
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05-24-2006, 05:08 PM
Post subject: Implied odds - chasing flush w/ paired board
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#1 (permalink)
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pro crastinator
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: No hindsight for the blind.
Posts: 1,842
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Villain is reasonably tight multitabler. Hero has been reasonably tight on this table as well, but villain might have seen him make some loose plays on a different table.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
saw flop|saw showdown
Button ($27.27)
Hero ($29.17)
BB ($26.75)
UTG ($10.05)
UTG+1 ($27.10)
MP1 ($6.65)
MP2 ($3.88)
MP3 ($23.80)
CO ($18.90)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 6 , A . Hero posts a blind of $0.10.
5 folds, CO calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero (poster) completes, BB checks.
Flop: ($0.75) 8 , 8 , 6 (3 players)
Hero bets $0.5, BB calls $0.50, CO folds.
Turn: ($1.75) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.85, BB raises to $3, Hero calls <-- by now I'm thinking he most probably is on a BB special with an 8. River could get dangerous for me if he pairs his kicker. Does this affect my implied odds enough to make this a bad call?
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dalecooper
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 3,107
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You're getting barely better than 2:1 on this call and you don't know which of your outs are dirty, assuming he just has trips and not the boat already (probably not). Personally in situations like this I like to pretend my implied odds are small or non-existent, and only chase when the pot odds are favorable on their own. Here, they definitely are not. Besides that, the pot is tiny when he raises you... let it go.
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Lukie
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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very easy fold
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Halv
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pro crastinator
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: No hindsight for the blind.
Posts: 1,842
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Thanks guys, I figured it was a stupid call.
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