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Deanglow
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11-19-2009, 02:57 AM
Post subject: I have a bluff catcher 600NL
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: lol
Posts: 2,440
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Villain is the loosest good reg there is. He will be betting the flop and turn with most of his range, but I think he has a very good sense of when to give up. He views me as tight/solid I guess. 3betting pre and getting this is in is +EV fwiw. He has $352 left after the bet.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
saw flop
UTG+1 ($469.05)
Hero (MP1) ($1252.80)
MP2 ($606)
CO ($2041.55)
Button ($869.55)
SB ($600)
BB ($618.85)
UTG ($692.90)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J , J
UTG bets $18, 1 fold, Hero calls $18, 5 folds
Flop: ($45) 5 , 9 , 5 (2 players)
UTG bets $28, Hero calls $28
Turn: ($101) Q (2 players)
UTG bets $85, Hero calls $85
River: ($271) 9 (2 players)
UTG bets $202, Hero
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,371
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Okay..I don't play this high and I'm a bit of a donk/tagfish but I'll give it a shot:
62% pot, 84% pot (on the 'scare card'), 74% pot. This is what stood out to me at first.
His turn bet sizing is weird to me (big jump compared to the flop size) is this just standard though for him? I mean, it doesn't seem like he's really planning out his hand here with the weird jump in bet sizing. Your range is probably perceived as like 66-88, TT-JJ for the most part. 99 is only 1 combo so I doubt he's worrying about that. It doesn't seem like he'd ever have quads or a boat here given his weird bet sizing though...so I'm calling mostly because his sizing on the turn and the fact that I don't think he's going to play Qx like this given your solid image. In fact, I would pressume he would think about his bet sizing more with 1 pair like hands to try and maximize value (or maybe this is his way of doing so). I think we must be good here alot and see a busted flush draw or something of that nature often enough (I'm guessing he's opening a fair amount of SC's/suited bways from EP that will be barreling this board).
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grindinginnj
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Straight
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Grinding In New Jersey!!
Posts: 143
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Because he is so loose is what scares me. His range is so wide, easily have a 5 in his hand some kind of Qw flush draw combo could have air maybe a 9. I fold..
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Stackin chips and rippin lips!!
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badgers
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11-23-2009, 05:17 PM
Post subject: Re: I have a bluff catcher 600NL
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#4 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Deanglow
He has $352 left after the bet.
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Are you thinking about shoving? I definitely do not like shoving, it just doesn't make a lot of sense since you won't be calling this open with SCs and so many players yet to act (I presume...?) I think I would call this if he's that loose given the number of missed draws etc. It's probably really close between calling and folding and I'd just go based on dynamic and how nitty he views you as..
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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