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Deanglow
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01-18-2010, 03:06 AM
Post subject: I hate these dumb hands 600NL
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: lol
Posts: 2,443
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I get myself in these situations a lot against donks and end up clueless. Over 27 hands he is 50/25 and 3bet 3 times already.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
saw flop
Hero (UTG+1) ($630.15)
MP1 ($600)
MP2 ($572.40)
MP3 ($1339.40)
CO ($883.90)
Button ($1305.45)
SB ($630.75)
BB ($347.30)
UTG ($962.05)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A , J
1 fold, Hero bets $18, 6 folds, BB raises to $30, Hero calls $12
Flop: ($63) A , 7 , 8 (2 players)
BB bets $42, Hero calls $42
Turn: ($147) 5 (2 players)
BB bets $72, Hero calls $72
River: ($291) 7 (2 players)
BB bets $203.30 (All-In), Hero calls $203.30
Total pot: $697.60 | Rake: $3
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jimmy44
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Place where I can spew
Posts: 1,391
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(Taking in consideration that there is no history between you)
He needs to bluff more then 28% of the time for you to be good.
If he's not completely bad, he has to put you on a medium/big Ace + QQ/KK (with 1 club) + possibly on AA/77/88 (but you might raise the flop with those).
His turn bet (1/2 pot) could be AA/77/88 or flush but also 2 barriling bluff on the flush card.
Then he pushes the river. He will never push this with a medium/low flush.
==> Either it's high Kc (if he didn't pay attention that the board paired on the river) or AA/77/88 where we're behind. Or a bluff, but which bluff hands can he get to the river with (after having 3bet your raise preflop in EP)? Maybe T9 (but can he 3bet you pre with this)?
I think he rarely shows a bluff here, so I would fold.
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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I think I play exactly the same on every street without ever feeling too happy about it..... I think the turn is closest to a fold but with the FD I can't fold there.
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by badgers
I think I play exactly the same on every street without ever feeling too happy about it..... I think the turn is closest to a fold but with the FD I can't fold there.
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Agreed except i think river seems close. I'd prob fold river.
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