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Here's a leak I'm trying to fix

  
 
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KingLizard
Old 06-17-2006, 05:14 PM     Post subject: Here's a leak I'm trying to fix #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 296
KingLizard
Getting AK in EP/MP (with no reads yet on the other players), I usually lead out with a 4-6XBB bet depending on what will leave me with 1-2 callers. Then the flop comes and it's either rags or undercards or both OR I hit TPTK. Like in this hand, I fire out a PSB OOP and get a caller. Now I am lost thinking what could he have?

Comments on how to proceed here?

PokerRoom No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 ($25.90)
UTG+2 ($9.45)
MP1 ($31.05)
Hero ($20.60)
MP3 ($25.55)
CO ($8.15)
Button ($17.70)
SB ($4.85)
BB ($17.00)
UTG ($11.25)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, K.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.5, 5 folds, UTG+1 calls $1.25.

Flop: ($3.40) 9, 8, A (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $3, UTG+1 calls $3.

Turn: ($9.40) T (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero ???
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ark4748
Old 06-17-2006, 06:31 PM #2 (permalink)  

Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 85
ark4748
My guess is that he is on a draw, so I bet again to make him pay for the draw. If raised I may fold.

On a less coordinated board, I check behind on the turn to control the pot size, but the 98 and 2 clubs make a draw likely here.
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Pelion
Old 06-17-2006, 06:54 PM #3 (permalink)  
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4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,206
Pelion
I bet $6. This is the sort of board im likely to check behind on the river since it is so likely he is drawing.

Reads help alot with this.
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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KingLizard
Old 06-17-2006, 07:33 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 296
KingLizard
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pelion
I bet $6. This is the sort of board im likely to check behind on the river since it is so likely he is drawing.

Reads help alot with this.
So, if you don't mind, let me ask you to speculate. Say the villain was 18 / 5 and was moderately aggressive post flop. How would that change your thinking. Conversely, if the villain were 48 / 20 ... what would you do?
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Pelion
Old 06-17-2006, 09:12 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Pelion
Quote:
Originally Posted by KingLizard
So, if you don't mind, let me ask you to speculate. Say the villain was 18 / 5 and was moderately aggressive post flop. How would that change your thinking. Conversely, if the villain were 48 / 20 ... what would you do?
Basically If hes 48/20 hes far more likely to have one of the draws or a weaker A than if hes TAG.

If hes TAG he probably wont even have AJ here. More likely to be AQ, AK or a hand that beats you.

So if hes loose id be betting (probably around 2/3 pot and maybe even 1/2 on the river to catch a weak A) whereas If hes TAG im more likely to check behind on the turn and call a reasonable sized bet on the river from a bluff/ AQ or a value bet.
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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