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Hand from live $1/2 game

  
 
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Reidak
Old 05-22-2009, 01:53 AM     Post subject: Hand from live $1/2 game #1 (permalink)  
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I have about $1200, villian has me nearly covered.

Preflop with QT in mp, I make it $6, vil makes it $22, random player calls and I call. Flop 6h Kh Js. I check, vil bets 35, random folds I call. Turn is 9c. I bet 82 villian calls. Pot is $300. River blanks like a 4 or something.

We have roughly 1K each behind. Vil has been hitting alot of hands, playing kind of spewy/not caring with shorter stacks but has more of less been avoiding playing in pots with me. He has cold called a bunch of my preflop raises and folded when I cbet most of the time.

What should I be betting on the river here? My thinking was that he would probably muck alot of top pair mid kickers with from my turn bet because he would be in a tough spot if i bet the river big, so I felt he might have some kind of two pair / set type hand but didnt want to raise me on the turn to control the pot size.

What should I be betting on the river?
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mxiu
Old 05-22-2009, 01:58 AM #2 (permalink)  
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c/r turn, as played bet 200 on the river
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Fnord
Old 05-22-2009, 02:17 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Fold pre-flop.
Bet more on the turn, at least 200 on the river.

Is it normal to play this deep?
 
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Extremophile
Old 05-22-2009, 03:37 AM #4 (permalink)  
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ask your opponent. he knows the truth.
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etsocaL
Old 05-27-2009, 11:27 AM #5 (permalink)  

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etsocaL
lol...sounds quite easy =)
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ZwiFT
Old 05-27-2009, 12:52 PM #6 (permalink)  
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c/c turn c/r river imo
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Fnord
Old 05-29-2009, 05:46 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Just wanted to add, that check/raising a nut hand this deep is pretty silly.

Check/raising the turn has a sick amount of implied threat.
River isn't going to get value bet by one pair often enough by most live players.

I like a turn bet/3-bet line. Maximizes the range of hands that give action on the turn and makes it less awkward to lead the river.
 
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Reidak
Old 05-29-2009, 06:01 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Also check raising the turn takes out missed flush draws from my range.

As played, I bet 225 on the river and he folded AK face up after thinking for a few minutes. A few players not in the hand were saying I missed the flush draw and nice bluff. I didn't show my hand.

Like I said before I was thinking he was more likely to have a set / 2 pair type hand there more often than top pair. I didn't think he would call 80 with just top pair on the turn
 
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Fnord
Old 05-29-2009, 06:17 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Ni Han.

Hard to get a big bet call out of one pair on the river sometimes.
 
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Reidak
Old 05-29-2009, 06:22 PM #10 (permalink)  
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thats the thing. i made my bet fairly quickly but i did the rough math, i just guessed one pair type hands were there 20-25% of the time, and two pair / set type hands were there 80-75% of the time. (dont hate on the math, i thought this and bet within like 15 seconds)

that being said, if I knew he had AK i would have bet smaller.. long run though i feel my bet sizing was okay.
 
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