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Fold underfull against a nit?...limped pot.

  
 
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gametight
Old 08-02-2008, 07:19 PM     Post subject: Fold underfull against a nit?...limped pot. #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is a 7/4/8 super NIT. Am I beating anything on the turn?

Party Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG+2: $101.90
MP1: $86.95
MP2: $100
CO: $173.90
BTN: $45
SB: $187.65
BB: $104.60
UTG: $101.40
Hero (UTG+1): $111.80

Pre-Flop: 7 7 dealt to Hero (UTG+1)
UTG calls $1, Hero calls $1, 2 folds, MP2 calls $1, 3 folds, BB checks

Flop: ($4.50) 7 9 6 (4 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $3, MP2 raises to $14, 2 folds, Hero calls $11

Turn: ($32.50) 6 (2 Players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $21, Hero raises to $96.80 and is All-In, MP2 calls $64 and is All-In

River: ($202.50) T (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
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a500lbgorilla
Old 08-02-2008, 07:43 PM #2 (permalink)  
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will641
Old 08-02-2008, 08:29 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 ill tell you what you dont beat: 66/99. that is it. if he actually had it thats a disgusting cooler.
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Old 08-02-2008, 08:47 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by will641
ill tell you what you dont beat: 66/99. that is it. if he actually had it thats a disgusting cooler.
And what do we beat ? 67 ? T8 ? Are these hands really in the 7% range ?

I mean, what cards is he playing ? Basically pairs and AQ+. There's no way such a nit is limping behind with a big pair, so his range is pretty much 22-99. Considering the flop action, I would be shocked if villain ever shows up with something else than 66 or 99. Well, I guess you *might* see once in a while 88 or TT, but not enough to makes this a profitable play.
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ATOTHEC101
Old 08-02-2008, 08:58 PM #5 (permalink)  
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meh, horrible spot but i aint folding the 3rd nuts after the turn, just take it as a bad cooler and move on if you were beat.
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Stacks
Old 08-02-2008, 09:02 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 Reminds me of the Daniel Negreanu v Gus Hansen hand. You lost to 66 huh? =)
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badgers
Old 08-02-2008, 09:03 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by will641
ill tell you what you dont beat: 66/99. that is it. if he actually had it thats a disgusting cooler.
problem is they're like the only hands he's repping and a 7/4 isn't going to be bluffing a lot.

you'd need a pretty solid read to fold here regardless though cos those hands are so unlikely and he only needs to be calling w/ A6/65 or have a rare case of tilt for this to be ok. You know better than I whether you had that read here.
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daven
Old 08-02-2008, 09:24 PM #8 (permalink)  
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 sick. Your read says fold turn. I don't think I am able to fold turn here tho, cos I'm not good enough
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Miffed22001
Old 08-02-2008, 10:53 PM #9 (permalink)  
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 call turn shove river is my line.
I think you have to stack off here.
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