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flush draw doesn't hit, but two pairs - thoughts?

  
 
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daven
Old 04-12-2008, 12:18 AM     Post subject: flush draw doesn't hit, but two pairs - thoughts? #1 (permalink)  
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 Thoughts on every street? villains both suck, not very aggressive so far. My image is probably pretty rough/loose.
I don't understand their turn play, setting up for a c-r? anyway, i want the free card. River, I'm only worried about the small blind, better two pair?? thin value? are any worse hands calling a river bet? check behind?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($17)
UTG ($28.80)
UTG+1 ($56.85)
MP1 ($50)
MP2 ($24.15)
Hero ($80.25)
CO ($50)
Button ($17.95)
SB ($33)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T, K.
UTG raises to $1, 2 folds, MP2 calls $1, Hero calls $1, 1 fold, Button calls $1, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.50.

Flop: ($6) 6, A, 2 (6 players)
SB bets $6, BB folds, UTG folds, MP2 calls $6, Hero calls $6, Button folds.

Turn: ($24) T (3 players)
SB checks, MP2 checks, Hero checks.

River: ($24) K (3 players)
SB checks, MP2 checks

daven???
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badgers
Old 04-12-2008, 12:32 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Bets $14. It looks a lot like they both have mediocre hands and I bet hoping to get a call from Ax. I think SB has Ax a lot here.
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daven
Old 04-12-2008, 01:13 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 do you think i get a call from Ax?
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badgers
Old 04-12-2008, 01:19 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Depends how bad SB is but yes I think Ax will call this river a lot especially since you are in position and it's been checked to you twice.
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ultros8
Old 04-12-2008, 01:32 AM #5 (permalink)  

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If SB has an ace I expect him to call a $14 bet AT LEAST 75% of the time, especially if he's a passive donk and you have a bad image. Since it's been checked to you twice your hand looks exactly like a weak hand or busted draw that decided to take a stab, what more do you want to put a bet in?
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BankItDrew
Old 04-12-2008, 03:38 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 Assume villain has a big ace and bet like $12.


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thizzSantaCruz
Old 04-12-2008, 04:08 AM #7 (permalink)  
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d0zer
Old 04-12-2008, 05:00 AM #8 (permalink)  
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I just push river

I think yes many worse hands call that. They're shortys who you claim suck. You think they'll care it's a 3-way? Their a2 is good fosho.
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