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Flopped ass-end of a straight, 2 tone board OOP

  
 
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drtofu66
Old 01-12-2007, 10:47 PM     Post subject: Flopped ass-end of a straight, 2 tone board OOP #1 (permalink)  
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No read on villain other than that he is loose 50%/6.3%/1.45 over only 48 hands.

Full Tilt Poker
Pot Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $6.15
UTG+1: $13.75
MP1: $13.30
MP2: $13.25
MP3: $8.80
CO: $10
Button: $2.20
SB: $3.90
Hero: $9.70

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with 5 6
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, 2 folds, Button calls, SB calls, Hero checks.

Flop: 9 8 7 ($0.5, 5 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.4, UTG+1 folds, MP2 raises to $0.8, Button calls, SB folds, Hero ?

Just curious about what your plan would be. Something in the back of my head is screaming that I'm behind JT and he may be raising to protect his hand. Or Ah/Kh/QhTh and with villains range I can't exclude Ah6h, K6h either. Do we really want to risk 100BB stacks with this hand? Raise here (what do you do with a RR? This is a PL table-- not NL) or call and reevaluate the turn (note the short button called a bet and raise here)? Then get away if the board pairs or a 6, J, T, or heart hits?
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Beck
Old 01-13-2007, 07:35 AM #2 (permalink)  
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at this level re-raise, bet out turn.
-Beck
 
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yorib
Old 01-13-2007, 07:53 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I think reraising is a bad choice (unless you just push and hope for the best) since if MP2 pushes you'll be in a very difficult position. MP2 could have 2 pair, set, FD+ OESD, anything really. About half the deck is a scare card too.

Figure that the hands that beat you are likely to be played.
Plus, if you're behind you are drawing dead.

Personally, I've folded these types of hands before as I knew I'd win a medium pot, or lose a big pot.
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zook
Old 01-13-2007, 08:01 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yorib
Personally, I've folded these types of hands before as I knew I'd win a medium pot, or lose a big pot.
You've folded flopped straights to a min-raise?

I like a raise to ~$2.50. I don't want to let him draw cheaply to a flush or higher straight and I'm willing to get it all in here.
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yorib
Old 01-14-2007, 05:07 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Yeah I have, I just didn't want to play for a big pot with my hand. I felt that pushing was 0EV, and I couldn't justify just building a pot.

Very week, I'm sure I just can't stand getting my $$ in dead.
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dev
Old 01-14-2007, 05:41 AM #6 (permalink)  
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That's nuts, you can't lay this hand without a REALLY good read.

I move big, it looks like a flush draw to me. Slow down if a scare card comes, but don't give this up too easy. I agree with zook all the way.
Check out my self-deprecation here!
 
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yorib
Old 01-14-2007, 11:32 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Realize that any 6,7,8,9,T, J or heart is a scare card, that's half the deck! Roughly, you've got a 25% of no scare cards coming on turn or river.

Just realize that if you build a big pot you may have to give it up.
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