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flop overbet push

  
 
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wufwugy
Old 05-28-2007, 12:53 AM     Post subject: flop overbet push #1 (permalink)  
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 villian is unknown.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP1 ($93.50)
MP2 ($73.40)
CO ($99.50)
Button ($132.60)
SB ($50.20)
BB ($29.15)
UTG ($61.50)
Hero ($204.50)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with T, T.
UTG calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 4 folds, SB calls $4.50, 1 fold, UTG folds.

Flop: ($12) 8, 6, 4 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8, SB raises to $45.2, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $65.20
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Renton
Old 05-28-2007, 01:49 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 I call. Its marginal, but i think with his stack size and position that its plus ev.
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wufwugy
Old 05-28-2007, 02:19 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 you'd have to put him on a pretty wide range of hands that you beat that he'd do that with.

do you regularly see guys doing this with AK, 8Q, 97? i couldn't help but think JJ+
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Renton
Old 05-28-2007, 02:40 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 sure, he shows up with JJ+ sometimes, but you also gotta imagine he reraises those preflop sometimes, especially QQ+. Also, since he's an unknown 50bb stack, you have to assume (probably correctly) that he overplays weak hands. That's enough to put 8x in his range.

And if 8x is in his range then its a call. If his range is 98/T8/A8/86/JJ/QQ/KK/AA, then its a good call.
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Renton
Old 05-28-2007, 02:42 AM #5 (permalink)  
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 actually even if his range is what i said plus sets then its still a call.
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wufwugy
Old 05-28-2007, 04:08 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 sounds good. thanks.

you were right. he had Q8 spades.
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