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Scrimmage
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06-03-2006, 03:45 AM
Post subject: Draw to nut flush, decent sized stacks
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Saskatoon, Canada
Posts: 127
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I figured with the large pot I had good odds to suck out the medium stack with my nut flush draw (roughly 2:1 I believe). How does my play look? Sorry in advance for the hand history - damn iPoker skins.
- <game gamecode="397126684">
- <general>
<startdate>2006-06-02 20:21:43</startdate>
- <players>
jamminjimmy chips="$5.85"
iluzuwin chips="$2.28"
musum42000" chips="$4.86"
ScrimmageCN" chips="$5.41"
abydos" chips="$5.61"
lgyypjb" chips="$2.89"
tmahan" chips="$5.34"
JeremyW57" chips="$2.97"
wallysuited" chips="$4.71"
- <round no="0">
lgyypjb sb="$0.02"
tmahan bb="$0.04"
</round>
Dealt to ScrimmageCN Ah 5h
- <round no="1">
"jamminjimmy" calls $0.04
Iluzuwin raises to $0.08
musum42000 calls $0.08
ScrimmageCN calls $0.08
abydos calls $0.08
JeremyW57 folds
wallysuited folds
lgyypjb raises to $0.2
tmahan folds
"jamminjimmy" calls $0.2
Iluzuwin raises to $0.2
musum42000 calls $0.2
ScrimmageCN calls $0.2
abydos calls $0.2
</round>
- <round no="2">
****Flop Kc 9h 7h
lgyypjb bets $0.70
Bunch of folds
ScrimmageCN raises to 3$
lgyypjb is all-in $2.67
***Turn 2d
7c
Winner is lgyypjb (Pair of Kinds), shows Kd Ac
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WhooFleuryScores
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 918
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flush draw is 3.7-to-1 to hit so 2-to-1 on your money is a losing preposition...unelss you have fold equity.Since villain is shortstacked they're liekly to call anywaysWOuld I push?Probably.
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jackvance
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 2,910
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by WhooFleuryScores
flush draw is 3.7-to-1 to hit so 2-to-1 on your money is a losing preposition...unelss you have fold equity.Since villain is shortstacked they're liekly to call anywaysWOuld I push?Probably.
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This seems to be 5NL so Villain isn't really shortstacked. He's the equivalent of a $30 stack at 50NL.
I personally don't like the push. Lay it down and wait for a better spot. It's pretty obvious you're gonna get called so without fold equity this is -EV play.
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WhooFleuryScores
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 918
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Quote:
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It's pretty obvious you're gonna get called so without fold equity this is -EV play.
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That was my original fear with hero-if villain can't laydwon TP our hero is in trouble.
Oh well.Always another round of PR reloads.
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jackvance
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 2,910
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Ofcourse he's not gonna lay down TP. He's probably even calling with middle pair. Hell, I'd call this with TP too.. noone is pushing there with a made hand most of the time, it's almost always a draw or speculative hand.
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