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Double Barreling - WTF is this guys range?

  
 
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AFchung
Old 07-24-2009, 09:28 AM     Post subject: Double Barreling - WTF is this guys range? #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 21/14 with a 22% fold to cbet and a 15 WTSD

Line check?

I noticed that he limps behind and calls the iso raise so weighted his range towards PPs. With such a low WTSD I double barreled to get him off his TT/JJ etc and probably get him off an ace (given his low WTSD)

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

MP2 ($139.40)
MP3 ($88.20)
CO ($50)
Hero (Button) ($52.90)
SB ($50.70)
BB ($49.45)
UTG ($85.75)
UTG+1 ($31.20)
MP1 ($49.25)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9, 10
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero bets $3, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls $2.50, MP3 calls $2.50

Flop: ($9.75) 2, K, A (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets $6.75, 1 fold, MP3 calls $6.75

Turn: ($23.25) 3 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets $15.80

Total pot: $54.85 | Rake: $2.65
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daven
Old 07-24-2009, 02:41 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 are you prepared to triple if the river comes 8h? Does he think you're FOS? 4-way I don't mind abandoning this one on the flop sometimes...
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

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Deanglow
Old 07-24-2009, 03:36 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 his range is hands that beat you and are (most likely) calling down and your range is losing money
 
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pgil
Old 07-24-2009, 04:13 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I don't know if a 22/14 is limping behind a TT/JJ. I don't understand why we are trying to build a pot pf against a guy who will not fold to a cbet when we have a good hand to see a cheap flop in position.

His low WTSD/fold to cbet may be a result of him being the aggressor more often than not, so I don't know how much stock I would put into those stats here.
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AFchung
Old 07-24-2009, 08:01 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by daven
are you prepared to triple if the river comes 8h? Does he think you're FOS? 4-way I don't mind abandoning this one on the flop sometimes...
i was actually planning on bet-bet-shoving so long as the spade didnt complete
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BankItDrew
Old 07-24-2009, 08:20 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 so he called u down with KQ... good read for a triple barrel

i agree with everyone else in this thread that this is a pretty bad board to be making this move against a floater. rep cards on further streets instead of flops imo when u fire three shots.


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Old 07-24-2009, 08:46 PM #7 (permalink)  
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yeah well we're pretty much trying to get him off of KQ
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