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Sprayed
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04-29-2007, 08:53 PM
Post subject: Do I call here?
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: GO BUCKS!
Posts: 3,057
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Villain is a 66.7/0 donkey. I have good odds on the turn. I have to call here, right? How do I figure this out? Do I run stove and put him at 66.7%? This guy could have anything, but I figure that he has an A. How was my line so far?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
SB ($14.35)
Hero ($25.75)
UTG ($7.60)
MP1 ($5.85)
MP2 ($6)
CO ($2.05)
Button ($5.05)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 , 6 .
1 fold, MP1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Button calls $0.10, SB completes, Hero checks.
Flop: ($0.40) 5, 3 , 4 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.4, MP1 folds, Button calls $0.40, SB folds.
Turn: ($1.20) A (2 players)
Hero bets $0.8, Button raises to $4.55, Hero folds.
Final Pot: $6.55
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LeFou
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Dallas, TX
Posts: 2,361
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villain has Ace or 2 most of the time, making you dead to a 7 or 3. good fold
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Sprayed
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: GO BUCKS!
Posts: 3,057
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Whoops, results. In the MTT forum we don't use this crazy converter thing.
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Ragnar4
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Billings, Montana
Posts: 1,284
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Question: At this limit, wouldn't the shove announce that he doesn't have the 2, and instead has the ace. or just crap?
Assuming he has the ace. You have 13 outs, 2 3's 3 6's 4 2's and 4 7's. Winning approx 28.6% of the time. You have to call 3.75 to win 10.30 Or approximatly 36% of the pot to win. Therefore: Since the amount of money you have to put into the pot to win is greater than the odds of winning, it's a clear fold.
Unless of course he doesn't have it. What are the odds your opponent would make a play on you from the button with position on such a dangerous board? If he's a donkey, he probably doesn't understand how to put a play like this on someone.
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The older I get, the more I start wondering; Just what in the hell is going on here? 
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Sprayed
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: GO BUCKS!
Posts: 3,057
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Ragnar4
Question: At this limit, wouldn't the shove announce that he doesn't have the 2, and instead has the ace. or just crap?
Assuming he has the ace. You have 13 outs, 2 3's 3 6's 4 2's and 4 7's. Winning approx 28.6% of the time. You have to call 3.75 to win 10.30 Or approximatly 36% of the pot to win. Therefore: Since the amount of money you have to put into the pot to win is greater than the odds of winning, it's a clear fold.
Unless of course he doesn't have it. What are the odds your opponent would make a play on you from the button with position on such a dangerous board? If he's a donkey, he probably doesn't understand how to put a play like this on someone.
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I think that he more than likely has an ace instead of a 2. He's pretty donkalishous so I don't think he has the smarts to make a play. If the pot odds were a little better, I would have called. There's just too many outs and this guy could have anything. I don't think that I can really put this guy on a hand with his numbers.
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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we needed to think about stack sizes and how we might have seen a cheap river here.
betting the turn was yukky. we might have got away with a c/c
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