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ecrujet
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08-26-2006, 12:39 PM
Post subject: do i call?
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#1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 47
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thanks for any sugestions of play
PokerRoom No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
UTG+2 ($29.00)
MP1 ($28.05)
MP2 ($55.80)
MP3 ($101.70)
CO ($44.00)
Hero ($48.50)
SB ($8.75)
BB ($45.00)
UTG ($50.00)
UTG+1 ($19.85)
Preflop: Hero is Button with K , A .
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.5, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls $1, MP1 calls $1.
Flop: ($5.25) 4 , 8 , 9 (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $0.5, Hero raises to $3, UTG+1 calls $3, MP1 calls $2.50.
Turn: ($14.25) Q (3 players)
UTG+1 bets $15.35 (All-In), MP1 calls $15.35, Hero ?
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jackvance
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 2,910
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It complicates things that you'll have to include $10 more vs MP1, but theoretically you can never be given bad odds on a flush draw in a 3-way pot, esp since you're drawing to the nut flush.
However, I probably fold here because I'm kinda expecting someone to have a flush already (reason being that 2 players seem very happy with their hand suddenly when a 3rd heart shows up, which normally scares the crap out of everyone), ie I have less outs than I think probably.
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Sarcasm is your body's natural defense against stupidity
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machine1984
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Two Pair
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Essex, UK
Posts: 26
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fold might be a made flush or a set which means less outs, its close its very read dependent
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givememyleg
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WHO YA GONNA CALL?!??
Administrator
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: ISHPERMING MISHIGEN
Posts: 5,042
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There's only one card to come and you need a to fall to win... I fold.
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Blinky
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: nutpeddlers anonymous
Posts: 459
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by jackvance
It complicates things that you'll have to include $10 more vs MP1, but theoretically you can never be given bad odds on a flush draw in a 3-way pot, esp since you're drawing to the nut flush.
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Am I missing something obvious? Here, hero is betting $15 to win what would be $60, or about 3:1 to call drawing to the nut flush. IOW, about 25% equity (this may be the incorrect term).
If we assume that all hearts are live, which IMO is a poor assumption in this case, 9 hearts left of 46 unknown cards - about 4:1 or 20% expectation.
We are putting in 25% of the pot, expecing to win about 20% of the time (maybe a bit more with MP1's stack). Or is my math off?!
This hand - clear fold. Looks like you're drawing against a made flush.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Rondavu
We will not support your pocket pair aggression.
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freechus9
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: IN UR BOX HAXXING UR FILEZ
Posts: 1,000
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Calling is -EV. Fold.
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