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convictkeeper
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09-17-2007, 07:09 PM
Post subject: Can I fold this?
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#1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 24
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The villain is new to the table and I have no reads. I have been given a ton of respect from the others, but this guy is new (maybe 5 hands). Did I complety "F" this up or is this another coller in a long line of coolers lately? I don't know how I lay the hand doen, but honestly I am getting these all the time, players hitting 2 outs and crushing my spirit to play. Anyway, enough whinning. What do you do here?
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1491825
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Jack Sawyer
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Old School
Posts: 2,535
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Post without results, you'll get a better discussion going.
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SteveO
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Full House
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 755
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Can you fold? Yes pretty easily.
Look at the context of the hand. On the flop he's out of position and check calls on a board with no draws whatsoever. Is he chasing? Narrow is range to 22, Jx, overpair or underpair 99 or below.
On the turn same thing (check/call) when you bet even bigger. What can he have here to play like that?
22 is out he was just counterfietted, Jx, overpair, underpair Most likely is a J since AA KK would have most likely re-raised you preflop.
The only hands you are in good shape against is an underpair like 99 or below but when he shoves the river you can let it go.
I will give you the fact that it is 5 handed kind of makes the hand harder because folks routinely over-play any pair especially middle pair's like 77-99 and you are in great shape against those hands but only those hands. But the fact that he finally wakes up and shoves on the river when he check/called both prior streets is a BIG sign that you are in bad shape.
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Send lawyers, guns and money - the sh*t has hit the fan!
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Jimmy Mac
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Full House
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Drinking your milkshake.
Posts: 950
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I'd probably check behind the turn and look to put in one bet on the river unless the opp is a complete clown. I think you get more value out of lower PPs this way and you lose less to a jack. Also, I think your flop and turn bets are a little on the large side on this dry board.
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