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Boat...call or shove?

  
 
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CBAT
Old 06-09-2010, 10:45 PM     Post subject: Boat...call or shove? #1 (permalink)  
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17.2/15
267 hands
5% 3b fyp

I figure he'll only call a shove with AA or better, so...

7 combos of 99, TT, KK
6 combos of AA


$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
7 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG SmileDK! ($107.50)
UTG+1 sebaaastian ($102.40)
MP Hero ($101.50)
CO underdog76 ($101)
BTN SexyTanya69 ($127.65)
SB alehandro2 ($72.45)
BB pokerarb ($100)

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 7 players) Hero is MP
SmileDK! raises to $2, 1 fold, Hero calls $2, 1 fold, SexyTanya69 calls $2, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.50, 3 players)
SmileDK! bets $4, Hero calls $4, SexyTanya69 calls $4

Turn: ($19.50, 3 players)
SmileDK! bets $11, Hero calls $11, SexyTanya69 folds

River: ($41.50, 2 players)
SmileDK! bets $25, $25 to Hero ($84.5)?
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Micro2Macro
Old 06-09-2010, 11:04 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 1. QJ isn't folding.

2. his bet sizing indicates he doesnt have flopped set.

3. this guy is an idiot value ship please.
"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."

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CBAT
Old 06-09-2010, 11:30 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Micro2Macro View Post
1. QJ isn't folding.

2. his bet sizing indicates he doesnt have flopped set.

3. this guy is an idiot value ship please.
He's raising QJ UTG?
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oskar
Old 06-09-2010, 11:50 PM #4 (permalink)  
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There are 7 combos that beat you. He's bet sizing like someone who does light aerobics with Richard Simmons, so he has zero of them, so if he only ever calls with AA you're fine.
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Micro2Macro
Old 06-10-2010, 05:13 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CBAT View Post
He's raising QJ UTG?
QJs
"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."

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paratrooper99
Old 06-13-2010, 01:46 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 imo. hes not double barreling with up and down st8 draw. bet sizing is suspect but not indicative of set on flop. i would have reraised on turn for value to 25 maybe. that would likely have led to a call on turn and check on river where you can re-eval bet size for value or overbet for appearance of bluff. I would put him on A9, K9, overpair, or 78. The made straight on flop makes sense to me. IF i have a 78 here, I would bet flop or check 50/50. I would put 80% of pot on turn and if i am reraised, know i am beat or only slightly favored. Since hero doesnt reraise here, i think i am still good and value bet river thinking i have best hand. To answer your question, if i have 78 here as i expect, i call 60 but i dont ship it all because a higher straight showed on river and the board is paired. let me know what you guys think about this
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ZwiFT
Old 06-15-2010, 03:59 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paratrooper99 View Post
imo. hes not double barreling with up and down st8 draw. bet sizing is suspect but not indicative of set on flop. i would have reraised on turn for value to 25 maybe. that would likely have led to a call on turn and check on river where you can re-eval bet size for value or overbet for appearance of bluff. I would put him on A9, K9, overpair, or 78. The made straight on flop makes sense to me. IF i have a 78 here, I would bet flop or check 50/50. I would put 80% of pot on turn and if i am reraised, know i am beat or only slightly favored. Since hero doesnt reraise here, i think i am still good and value bet river thinking i have best hand. To answer your question, if i have 78 here as i expect, i call 60 but i dont ship it all because a higher straight showed on river and the board is paired. let me know what you guys think about this
wat

its ptretty simple here if he is a reet u can shove, if he is somewhat of a decent reg he will be able to fold AK/AA here
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