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Big river bets

  
 
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Anosmic
Old 07-25-2006, 06:40 AM     Post subject: Big river bets #1 (permalink)  
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Okay, two hands. What do you think?

No. 1 $20NL

HERO CO with A Q ($19.70)
Villain MP1 ($33.39) seemed loose, but no good read.

Pre-flop
1 call, 2 fold, Villain raises to $0.60 , 1 fold, 1 call, hero calls,
3 folds, 1 call.

Flop: ($2.70) T 4 Q
BB checks, Villain checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets $2.00, 1 fold, Villain calls, 1 fold.

Turn: ($6.70) A
Villain checks. Hero bets $3.60, Villain calls.

River: ($13.90) K
Villain bets $27.19 and is all-in

Bet more on the turn?

No.2 $50NL
Hero is SB ($59.00)
Villain is MP3 ($186) I'd put him as TAP. Has shown he can lay down good hands.

Hero is dealt A Q

Pre-flop:
5 folds, Villain raises to $2.00, 2 fold, Hero calls, BB folds.

Flop: ($5.00) 5 3 2
Hero checks. Villain checks.

Turn ($5.00) J
Hero checks. Villain bets $2.50, Hero calls.

River ($10.00) K
Hero checks. Villain bets $3.50, Hero raises to $14.00

Was that worth a try? This looked weak from him, all the way really. I don't believe he's hit anything. Maybe a jack, but it looks like the K was a scare card to me; but that's a weak read off a handful of hands.
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AHiltz
Old 07-25-2006, 01:11 PM #2 (permalink)  
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#2 looks like a value bet on the river. I think you are behind here more often then not.
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bair
Old 07-25-2006, 03:26 PM #3 (permalink)  
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hand 1: pot the turn, fold the river
hand 2: you can't just check-raise someone because they make a weak bet...you have to represent a specific hand, and your prior streets need to make sense, which yours dont, at all. KJ leads the turn and the river. AK reraises preflop and leads the river or check-calls. flopped straight gets more value on all streets. your line makes no sense. nothing worth check-raising that river only check-calls that small turn bet.
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takesix
Old 07-25-2006, 06:44 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Hand 1: Near PSB on the turn, fold to a raise, if called fold to the river push. Mega obvious draws here.

Hand 2: At best you could be repping a really delayed set line, but I don't know if you can assume he's that smart. A4s is possible if you were acting loose enough... but this looks strongly like a J here, and the $3.50 was a blocking bet against someone with a K. But considering your out of nowhere raise, I'd call it to see what you showed down.
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Miffed22001
Old 07-25-2006, 07:17 PM #5 (permalink)  
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1 is fine, nothing you can do but win money by folding in the long run.
2. dooooooooooh. What exactly are you representing here? How often is that going to get looked up if opp has a hand? Enough to make it not worth it imo.
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zook
Old 07-25-2006, 07:20 PM #6 (permalink)  
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1. Normally I like a 1/2-pot bet here, but with multiple draws on the board I think $5 or $6 is better.

2. Fold the turn. He's not giving you the right odds for your overs. With your TAP read on villain the river c/r could be a good line.
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Anosmic
Old 07-26-2006, 05:28 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Cheers guys.

Yeah, I thought my c/r in the second was suspect. But one advantage of being considered a bit passive yourself is that these things come out of the blue and that perhaps add weight to them.

As far as what I was representing I'd say trips hit on the flop; checked/called to build the pot and then raised at the river...
The sort of crap I used to do more often...

Villain folded, but I don't know how much can be credited to a good read. Probably little, mostly just luuucky.
Blah blah Op Blah blah

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knoedel
Old 07-26-2006, 11:40 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Why don't you c/r the turn on hand one, why just call and give him the free draw? Not that I would usually do that (I mean, check aces up to my opponent), but for the sake of variance raise it up to 15$! You don't neccesarily want to go to showdown with aces up and a flushdraw out, do you? He could easily be repping the flush because you showed weakness on the turn, trying to push you of your (obviously mediocre) hand.
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