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Baby flush in raised pot.

  
 
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givememyleg
Old 10-07-2006, 08:52 PM     Post subject: Baby flush in raised pot. #1 (permalink)  
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 PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($49.70)
Hero ($48.50)
Button ($41.95)
SB ($31.80)
BB ($50.70)
UTG ($34.40)
UTG+1 ($82.70)
MP1 ($44.50)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 5, 2.
4 folds, Hero raises to $2, Button calls $2, 2 folds.

Flop: ($4.75) 4, J, A (2 players)
Hero bets $3, Button calls $3.

Turn: ($10.75) A (2 players)
Hero bets $7, Button raises to $20.5, Hero .....

Villian is 29/12/2.5 over ~40 hands. He is pretty decent, but I don't have a very good read on him.

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zook
Old 10-08-2006, 12:35 AM #2 (permalink)  
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edit: re-thought this right after I posted

I'm calling and probably c/c'ing the river. I think you're a little behind his range but there's enough $ in the pot to make this a call.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,584 games 0.005 secs 316,800 games/sec

Board: As Js 4s Ad
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 44.3182 % 44.32% 00.00% { 5s2s }
Hand 2: 55.6818 % 55.68% 00.00% { 44, A2s+, KsQs, KsTs, QsTs, Ts9s, 9s8s, AJo }

As a side note, I'm leaving this table with a guy with these stats to my immediate left.
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givememyleg
Old 10-08-2006, 01:51 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 If you're going to c/c river would a turn push be better? I really don't want to see another come off, so I think I should either make a crying fold or push.

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KoRnholio
Old 10-08-2006, 02:05 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 This could easily be a hand like AxKs or AxQs. I call and c-c a non-spade/2nd pair river.
Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
 
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zook
Old 10-08-2006, 02:08 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by givememyleg
If you're going to c/c river would a turn push be better? I really don't want to see another come off, so I think I should either make a crying fold or push.
What hand with one spade do you think he might have? AQo? ATo? KJo? There aren't many. I think you're wa/wb here, so pushing makes his decision easy. I think you should be willing to lose your stack here, but try to get value from Ax.
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Fnord
Old 10-08-2006, 07:56 PM #6 (permalink)  
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All-in, river the nut wheel.
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Miffed22001
Old 10-08-2006, 08:08 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 have i seen a post mentioning AJ yet?

Having raised so much i think he prob has to have a boat, but with his stats (one of the reasons i hate having a HUD up) id call the turn and block the river hoping to showdown.

Without a HUD id fold this turn i think, i think you can play for stacks in better spots. WIth the HUD as noted, id probably stack off on the river anyway.
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Jimmy Mac
Old 10-08-2006, 08:21 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I think it's push or fold here. If we call the pot will be about $50 with less than $20 behind. Villains line looks really scary, but I'd probably push hoping he has AK/AQ or is trying to scare you off.
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Margin Of Error
Old 10-08-2006, 09:10 PM #9 (permalink)  
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I'm calling and pushing any non spade or non pairing river, otherwise fold.
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