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Analysis please

  
 
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Toe
Old 01-09-2006, 11:58 PM     Post subject: Analysis please #1 (permalink)  
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Posts: 102
Toe
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

BB ($69.85)
UTG ($32.12)
UTG+1 ($59.55)
UTG+2 ($58.46)
MP1 ($50.30)
MP2 ($58.20)
Hero ($62.85)
CO ($41.30)
Button ($48.55)
SB ($41.55)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K, A. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, SB (poster) calls $1.75, 1 fold, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds.

Flop: ($5.50) K, T, 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.5, SB calls $4.50.

Turn: ($14.50) Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB raises to $25.

What do you put him on? Was i correct in leading the turn? Should I have raised more/less preflop?
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zenbitz
Old 01-10-2006, 12:46 AM #2 (permalink)  
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After the turn raise, I think you are beat. AA/KK/QQ/TT/88/KQ J9-spades, A9-spades. T8suited (not spades)... probably NOT KTs but that's about all I'll rule out.

The only hand you beat is AQ/QJ, and if it's spades he still has outs.

With out a read that he is making a semi-bluff into strength here, I have to fold. Note the less than all-in raise too.
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Fnord
Old 01-10-2006, 04:50 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Raise more pre-flop.

Hero has an easy fold to the turn c/r. If you suspect his line here is to c/r and/or will stab at rivers, then I like checking. Against typical loose/passives then the turn is an easy bet/fold.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 01-10-2006, 05:16 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 obvious fold on the turn. My best guess would be AJs spades, I'd think he'd probably raise the turn more with a set.
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