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AKs ?Overs? +nut flush draw

  
 
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Alameda
Old 02-14-2006, 05:11 AM     Post subject: AKs ?Overs? +nut flush draw #1 (permalink)  

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Alameda
PokerStars Game #3966958516: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2006/02/13 - 23:48:34 (ET)
Table 'Delphinus V' Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Squeeze5 ($29.45 in chips)
Seat 3: DJSS ($4.60 in chips)
Seat 4: ehmann ($12.90 in chips)
Seat 5: vnick4 ($9.75 in chips)
Seat 6: Alameda22 ($22.10 in chips)
Seat 7: WildWayneo ($1.90 in chips)
Seat 8: 57Vic44 ($9.65 in chips)
Seat 9: J-Rock-PSK ($14.25 in chips)
BeetleSpin~n will be allowed to play after the button
DJSS: posts small blind $0.10
ehmann: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Alameda22 [Kc Ac]
vnick4: folds
Alameda22: raises $0.75 to $1
WildWayneo: folds
57Vic44: folds
J-Rock-PSK: folds
Squeeze5: raises $2 to $3
DJSS: raises $1.60 to $4.60 and is all-in
ehmann: folds
Alameda22: calls $3.60
Squeeze5: calls $1.60
*** FLOP *** [4c 9c Jh]
Alameda22: checks
Squeeze5: bets $4
Alameda22: calls $4
*** TURN *** [4c 9c Jh] [3d]
Alameda22: checks
Squeeze5: bets $13.50
Alameda22: folds
*** RIVER *** [4c 9c Jh 3d] [8c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Squeeze5: shows [8d 8s] (three of a kind, Eights)
Squeeze5 collected $7.65 from side pot
DJSS: mucks hand
DJSS leaves the table
Squeeze5 collected $13.35 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $22.05 Main pot $13.35. Side pot $7.65. | Rake $1.05
Board [4c 9c Jh 3d 8c]
Seat 1: Squeeze5 (button) showed [8d 8s] and won ($21) with three of a kind, Eights
Seat 3: DJSS (small blind) mucked [Td Jd]
Seat 4: ehmann (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: vnick4 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Alameda22 folded on the Turn
Seat 7: WildWayneo folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: 57Vic44 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: J-Rock-PSK folded before Flop (didn't bet)

I Went cold in tournies, so Ive been trying ring games, Ive been doin well, this is the first hand to really baffle me. If Im figuring my odds correctly, I need a 27.7% chance of winning to call correctly.
If he has Queens, Im 34%
If he has Kings Im 27.3%
If he has Aces Im 20.5%
I decided it was more likely that he had aces than a pair lower than Qs, and laid my hand down.

Can I make a call on the turn here?

Also, was I right to check-call on the flop, or should I have bet out.
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Fnord
Old 02-14-2006, 05:13 AM #2 (permalink)  
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c/r flop all-in and try not to care too much if he calls or folds.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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bdawg56kg
Old 02-14-2006, 05:23 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
c/r flop all-in and try not to care too much if he calls or folds.
lol, I was about to type this and realize Fnord beat me to it. That's one of the best flops you can hope for with AKs, gotta play it hard.
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Fnord
Old 02-14-2006, 05:24 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Yeah, he turn-fucked himself here.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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