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AKo oop flops nut flush draw vs heat - how's my aggro? 100nl

  
 
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daven
Old 02-02-2010, 07:31 PM     Post subject: AKo oop flops nut flush draw vs heat - how's my aggro? 100nl #1 (permalink)  
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daven will become famous soon enough
 villain is 17-8 over 200 hands, he's folded to a couple of cbets so far, raised one. I haven't done anything much that's he's seen, like i've been targeting a fish or two but no showdowns.

I don't think i like my 3b sizing much, but hard to tell.
Flop is interesting. I'm c-betting/check-raising here with more or less the same range (including sets/flopped flushes/overpairs/air/draws - all of which are possible), depending on reads on opponents. Here i range him as all sorts of Ax/broadway/pocket pairs after pre-flop. Post flop I think he plays this line with sets/TT+, and the few broadway flushes he coulda flopped. AGainst this range this gets close to a call cos of the 15 outs vs QQ thing. Call or fold? How do my ranges sound? His timing was pretty much snap

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 ($36.85)
CO ($100)
Button ($27)
Hero (SB) ($105.10)
BB ($100)
UTG ($110.10)
UTG+1 ($129.95)
MP1 ($156.95)
MP2 ($80.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K
5 folds, CO bets $4, 1 fold, Hero raises to $12, 1 fold, CO calls $8

Flop: ($25) 5, 7, 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $14, CO raises to $87.50 (All-In),
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

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pokerfan
Old 02-02-2010, 09:01 PM #2 (permalink)  
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pokerfan
CRAI!!! As played, I'd probably fold given your cbet sizing and his huge aggession. Your equity against his range(9d9x+,55,77,88,JdTd,KdQd,AxKd) is not that great(around 33%).
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badgers
Old 02-02-2010, 09:31 PM #3 (permalink)  
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yeah i kinda like crai although it is a bit face up.. We should have enough equity to mean that it isn't really a problem if he stabs at it enough (we he probably will since this is a flop some of our range is gonna have to c/f on)
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badgers
Old 02-02-2010, 09:33 PM #4 (permalink)  
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yeah i kinda like crai although it is a bit face up.. We should have enough equity to mean that it isn't really a problem if he stabs at it enough (we he probably will since this is a flop some of our range is gonna have to c/f on)
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bikes
Old 02-02-2010, 09:45 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 Lol @ ever ever ever folding here.
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Micro2Macro
Old 02-03-2010, 12:39 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
yeah i kinda like crai although it is a bit face up.. We should have enough equity to mean that it isn't really a problem if he stabs at it enough (we he probably will since this is a flop some of our range is gonna have to c/f on)
this seems irrelevant

c/shove or if you're going to bet, bet bigger - like $20ish.
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